SwiftVets.com

peter · Lieutenant Joined: 22 Aug 2004 Posts: 214

On Zogby website he is saying:

Colorado and Virgina are going to be "surprises" and and showing 252 v 252 with Colorado going to Kerry saying Penn and VA will decide election.

He's giving Bush Florida & Ohio and saying it all comes down to Penn / VA.

Do you think this is based on exit polling? Is CO going Kerry, VA / Penn going to decide election.

Could Bush still lose even IF he wins OH and FL?

see his website at www.zogby.com

Also at Intrade a bet for Bush is at 57% Kerry 43% , I assume the handicaps. Interesting to see where the money is betting. The site seems down now.

mr_mechanical · Lt.Jg. Joined: 13 Aug 2004 Posts: 121 Location: Virginia

VIRGINIA for KERRY?

Just incredible! I have to wait in line 1:45 minutes to vote and it’s normally a walk right proposition. I live in Northern Virginia which is typically votes for the Democrats. Judging from the Bush vs. Kerry sample ballots, a ratio of 8:2 in favor of the President, I think we’re headed to a landslide in Virginia. I also got a haircut and all four males in the chairs were voting for Bush. I got to listen to a full Kerry bashing, including from one of the Vietnamese barbers Laughing

. I am feeling good!

Lily · Lieutenant Joined: 08 Aug 2004 Posts: 244

Didn't Zogby have the worst record in tracking state races in the last election? His polls have been all over the place and I don't find him credible. I believe Zogby is the only pollster showing Kerry leading in CO and Bush has been leading in NM for a while now which Zogby is calling a blue state.I expect Bush to win but not due to anything Zogby says.

Steve Z · Posted: Tue Nov 02, 2004 6:32 pm Post subject: CO and VA surprises?

Zogby has been the ONLY poller showing Colorado in play recently.

On RealClearPolitics.com they have, for Colorado:

SUSA 10/30-11/1: Bush 50-47
Zogby 10/29-11/1 Bush 49-47
Mason-Dixon 10/27-10/29 Bush 50-43
Rocky Mn News 10/25-27 Bush 50-42
Average Bush +5.2.

Both Rasmussen and RCP have Colorado Leaning Bush.

Virginia:
SUSA 10/27-29 Bush 51-47
Times Dispatch 10/20-26 Bush 49-40
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The traitor will crater!

SBVTSupporter · Posted: Tue Nov 02, 2004 6:33 pm Post subject:

I live in Northern Virginia and voted this morning at 10:00 am. There was a decent line. I really don't think Kerry can take this state. It has been trending conservative for several years. We had a Democratic controlled state legislature for the last 100 years until a few elections cycles back. The Republicans took over and have been gaining seats ever since.

I will be shocked if VA goes to Kerry.

jwb7605 · Posted: Tue Nov 02, 2004 6:37 pm Post subject: Re: Zogby latest "results"

Nathanyl · PO3 Joined: 24 Aug 2004 Posts: 280

Police are escorting the Move-on people off a lot sties.
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Bill Hershey
www.worldwar4.net