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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 3:15 am Post subject: Re: The Concern & 9-11 |
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sore loser wrote: | Paul wrote: | “I understand your statement about “good job” regarding the 9-11 assaults. I’ve made similar observations to friends since 12 Sept ’01, although never phrased in quite as complimentary a manner as yours is here.
I’ve pointed out the obvious danger of the enemies that we face due to the extreme competence and extraordinary effectiveness of the assaults on 9-11.
Therefore we are facing quite intelligent and quite capable adversaries who have made themselves our enemy, openly declared war against us and engaged in quite successful acts of war against us since about 1993 who employ complex assaults utilizing simple readily available means with radically effective results.
Even though my statements aren’t quite so complimentary sounding as your own “good job”, they still tend to enrage many of my friends when I first make them since they’re often received as excessively complimentary of our enemies who have murdered thousands of Americans.
I've never been brave enough to voice that reaction to any except those here who I thought professional enough to understand a well thought out and executed plan too. These were just a few of many things I felt as I watched the towers go down on the TV. More on this in another reply to you.
To be honest, I believe it's needed to be said. The first reactions of many that I knew was to call for a retaliatory air strike. My response was that if that's all that we did in response to 9-11, then it would only demonstrate that this nation doesn't "have a hair left. . ." I was sickened at the thought of a stupid air strike in response to something like that attack that dwarfed Pearl Harbor. Geez. . .
After that, many folks seemed almost defeated with, "how can you fight a group like this, they're not a nation. . . "
That was three years ago when even goof ball fake emails about terrorists assaults on the local mall (generic at that) spooked a number that I knew. . . . Now it's the other extreme. . . Dire warnings of defeat by "Radical Islam" likened to 1930s Nazi Germany (as if the vaguely defined "defeat" will be ragged mujahadeen in a victory march down PA Ave. . . and the call to use the US armed forces (that the majority of our people don't want to serve in. . .. ) to impose a form of government, ie. democracy, and a reform of someone elses religion on over 1 billion people and upon tens of nations, in the name of "wars of liberation". . . that I hear blithely recited by some of the same people. . .
And we're three years into this and at the moment only on nation Number Two of what would be this gradiose scheme . . . for goodness sake. . .
These are the same who confuse the rabble on the west bank on TV with Al Qaida and who think that their worthless curses about "ignorant" and "backward" Muslims and Arabs serve some kind of purpose.
I don't make it my purpose, and have given thought to clarification of the phrasing trying to be as clear as possible, but after that if it causes initial anger because it's misinterpreted as a compliment, then that can be dealt with, so I don't hold back out of fear that it will anger someone. It needs to be said. The 9-11 attacks were extremely competent and yielded extraordinary results. Like it or not, some need to hear that and stop the nonsense of confusing the enemy that has attacked us with the rabble that attack others elsewhere which are not our immediate problem or responsibility. . .
While I understand the reaction and share the hatred for those who have attacked us, I only point out that it is foolish to underestimate an enemy or to believe that derogatory rhetoric alone is of any value whatsoever where the manner of defeating them is concerned. For my friends who, I believe foolishly, engage in denigration of our enemy’s capabilities or intelligence, and further confound them with the whole of the “Islamic world” or even the vague "radical Islam", and follow up with derogatory statements, I point out the old admonition that, “you’re worst curse, won’t kill a fly,” never mind a terrorist.
I don't ever recall being guilty of under-estimating these guys, so if I implied that somewhere, please understand it was unintentional. I've been busy trying to make ends meet, and have only followed Osama's career at a distance. Because there is nothing worth watching, as well as too much that ought to be relegated to pay per view, or better yet to a windowless porno shop, the only reason we have a TV is to play movies we buy. Thanks to the internet I can keep up with some things. But as you point out, he has quite a record, that hasn't escaped me. |
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Oh no. Not you. My comments here were regarding my mention of my friend’s reactions in the paragraph preceding this in the post you responded to. _________________ Paul
Last edited by Paul on Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:04 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:45 am Post subject: Re: OJT |
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sore loser wrote: | Paul wrote: | “Again, I don’t criticize something only because mistakes are made and it isn’t perfect. There’s no question that in fighting those who have attacked us that we’ll need to learn a great deal as we go along. However, there are mistakes and then there are mistakes. Proportionally speaking, Iraq is a huge one.
[color=blue]We sorta disagree here. I don't know, you may be the only person in the world, who at the time knew Iraq didn't have WMD. Whether Saddam actually got rid of them, or snuck them to Syria as has been implied recently, I don't know, and don't really care. As soon as we know where he is, I'll e-mail my apology to him (note the smartAlec in me coming out again in that last statement). I'm not sorry we ended his regime.
Thanks for the compliment, but I’m not that smart and don't own a crystal ball. I don't claim to have known that Iraq did not have WMD or even claim to have known the degree of the threat against us as a result if they did. There were reasonable questions to be asked even by a peon like myself. Especially regarding Iran and North Korea.
At any rate, in no way was I the only "person in the world" to question the reasons for, and wisdom of, invading Iraq.
The anti-war pacifist left only seemed to grab onto whatever argument was expedient at the instant, regardless of self-contradictions, lack of objectivity or anything else. . . the usual ‘style over substance’. . . . The anti-war pacifist movement side mostly demonstrated how tens of millions of individuals world-wide can be driven into the streets on nothing more substantial than weak Iraqi propaganda and claims of "blood for oil" (the 2002 equivalent of the 1930s "merchants of death" I suppose. . . But folks are far more hypersensitive and emotional at this point in time than was the norm back then. . . ).
However, in 2002 and 2003 I was disturbed by the shabby treatment and response to a number of individuals brighter, competent, and prominent, retired military and naval officers, including Flag and General Officers, former defense department secretaries and others, who did pose some of these questions publicly and raise objections. The lack of ability to address the questions by those who were advocating something as serious as the invasion of another nation I did find disturbing. Especially since we dinked around for almost a year arguing it with the UN security council. . . There was no real substantial debate on Iraq in this country and it wasn’t due to lack of time or lack of anyone raising questions and objections. Those who did were frequently enough claimed to be anti-Semite, racist, defeatist, anti-American.. . . It was ridiculous.
This is a Representative Republic. Our leaders are elected, or appointed by those who are, so as to lead. One hopes that they are at least competent in the decisions that they make. Frankly, I make no claim to have "known" anything with certainty at the time. I had questions based on what was publicly available back then and that seemed contradictory, particularly regarding Iran and North Korea.
I did remember that Iraq had its nuclear program back in the early '90s and the revelation of the biological warfare program by Saddam's now late son-in-law's. . . What it all meant was a reasonable question.
Also recognized at the time, and since, is that I'm the peon who I am and I knew that I also no doubt lacked knowledge and information about many details that would be necessary if one was to be able to make a strong argument against.
The now defunct "roadmap" had elements that balanced much of the policy and gave a good bit more coherence to it I thought. Now that's gone and the balance with it.
Given the obvious questions about Korea and Iran, then the subsequent groveling and Kow Towing to the PRC and the timid approach to Korea and some of the absurdities heard from neo-cons about Iran and Shi'ite Islam, I found not only astonishing, but in the case of Iran, downright Orwellian. The groveling to Korea and the PRC while mouthing tough slogans against weak Iraq, were at least an obvious contradiction.
You mentioned cultural aspects. One aspect from the cultural persespective hard not to notice in 2002-2003 was the differences in response between Saddam and Kim Jong. Saddam was beginning to "tone it down" a bit. Jr. in North Korea was all but spitting in his public speeches when speaking about or to the United States.
Wild grandiose rhetoric from an Arab leader doesn't surprise me in the least and doesn't necessarily spook or frighten me. I most certainly don't take it all literally. . . When an Arab leader tones it down, that tends to be an indication he's backing down.
A northeast Asian leader on the other hand, and I'm not surprised in the least when he's disciplined and self-restrained, even to the point of darn near boring in his public speaking. . . But when he starts frothing at the mouth and raising the rhetoric and the threats, then I become concerned and start paying attention to what he's saying and threatening.
What I saw in 2002 was the United States going for the weakling.
And the arguments quoting Medaleine Albright and Bill Clinton and the endless debate over un-enforced Security Council Resolutions did nothing for me. Should we now argue to have the US enforce those against Israel? I don't want to. It was irrelevant to the relationship, or lack thereof, of Iraq to 9-11, and it still is.
The business about “liberating” Iraq is also irrelevant to the question. How brutal Saddam was is also irrelevant. Yes. He was a despot and a murderer. However, I’ll say it again, that relative to President Putin of Russia or to the current leaders of the PRC, or even to those in his same league, Kim Jong, Edi Amin, Pol Pot, then Saddam is not a pimple on the ass of a bug. . .
And his being a brutal despot is irrelevant.
The "liberation" nonsense certainly has nothing to do with 9-11 and "shock and awe" . . . yeah. As to the reconstruction phase, then I've already commented somewhat regarding the observations of how badly planned and executed the effort in Iran has been. . .
Bottom line, ask me today what I think knowing what we know now, then the US attacked the wrong target for a lot of very bad reasons given since.
Now. Since we created this situation, as mentioned before, do we have a policy or a plan? Does a War Effort exist? Will a war ever be formally declared or even the new 2002 updated "Gulf of Tonkin Resolution" to invade Iraq be debated and renewed annually or so?
Personally, I doubt it. And with about 140,000 of our people on the ground in an ambiguous chain of command at the moment, that's pathetic.
The bottom line that I can see with Iraq is that we indeed attacked the wrong target. None of the justifications for having done so have held up, and aren’t even defended by the President any longer.
I don't think because they haven't held up so far is the issue. At the time, everybody, except possibly you, and I mean that as a compliment to your scholarship, knew he had them. Until they are accounted for, whether some Iraqi confesses to destroying them, or they turn up in NYC via Syria, or whatever, as far as I am concerned it's no more than a mistake, not even regretable. At least people can live now without having to fear that guy. It may turn out worse later, or it may not, only time will tell. But at least we gave them a shot. Dubya may not be defending them more because of political expediency rather than conviction of a changed heart.
Unlike the first Gulf War we’re not only supplying the bulk of the troops but we’re also footing the bill for all of this. Another reason I don’t see the sense in the increase of the national debt through increased federal social spending, current monetary policies decreasing the value of the US dollar, the weakening of US sovereignty in trade and the failure to address the loss of manufacturing and the decline of the American service industry. With the kind of economic ramifications that 9-11 had, then even from an immediate national defense position, none of this makes sense to me.
The loss of manufacturering jobs is due to capitalism. It's cheaper to do some things elsewhere, over and out. Sure it's gonna suck for awhile until their standard of living catches up to ours and things level out. But some in the government know how to make things competitive but just refuse to take action. Take our dear sweet governor Jennifer Granholm. If an auto OEM or supplier threatens to move jobs, she can't run fast enough to grant tax breaks to keep them here. Apparently she knows TAXES ARE TOO HIGH. But I'm not holding my breath until I get a tax break.
First, thanks for the offer, but you can keep your governor Jennifer Granholm. I sure wouldn’t want her. . .
I don’t disagree that the loss of our remaining manufacturing is due to capitalism within the current world situation.
I do disagree strongly with “Sure it's gonna suck for awhile until their standard of living catches up to ours and things level out.”
The rest of the world “leveling up” to us is not a given. In fact, I suspect that a “leveling” down by ourselves is far more likely.
Loss of US manufacturing won’t be stemmed by tax breaks alone. The current trade situation is that the WTO now dominates American trade practices in Europe and the agreements via the Fast Track dominates American trade practices in the western Pacific and Asia while north America has the free trade agreement between the US, Mexico and Canada which looks to be extended to all of the Americas soon.
It’s not just the United States that’s impacted.The Maquiladores industries along the border in Mexico initially experienced a boom as US businesses relocated their operations from the US to Mexico. The boom lasted about ten years. Today there’s widespread layoffs and unemployment along the border in Mexico, which has a free trade agreement with Asian countries, including the People’s Republic of China.
Many of those businesses that left the US for Mexico have now left Mexico for China.
Korea is experiencing heavy pressure due to loss of manufacturing, so is Singapore and so is such as Malaysia and others. Malaysia can’t compete with either Vietnam or China.
Speaking with a Brit engineer the year before last, he expressed his concern at the decline in young engineers in England and wondered who was going to replace them in our industry, including aging consulting engineers such as himself? I didn’t hesitate in my answer, those who are actually doing the work and operating the plants and facilities within the industry. Increasingly, that’s not going to be Americans and Brits.
The outflow of the remaining manufacturing and now increasingly the Service Industry that in the ‘70s and ‘80s decline in manufacturing it was claimed would be the new high-paying jobs in our “information society”, are now also leaving.
In transport phenomena, or heat, fluid and mass transfer, and in electricity and electronics, as you would know, the natural flow is from the high to the low, and natural leveling is down. The only way to reverse that is to apply a potential, such as a pump, voltage, whatever. . . .
Not to exaggerate a parallel to the laws of physics, but under the current situation there’s simply no way that the US or anyone else can compete with a nation such as the People’s Republic of China.
It’s a large nation with a huge population, and it does not have the labor, environmental and trade laws such as those that the United States operates under. Further, it has a large proportion of it’s citizens who are well educated, intelligent and quite capable. Low cost labor it has in abundance.
Laissez Faire capitalist economics is simply not going to result in the “leveling up” of China or any of the rest of the world to ourselves, but under the current systems and restrictions, it is far more likely to result in the leveling down of the US.
This is not something that I look for to be addressed any time soon in any seriousness by our national leaders, elected or appointed. Where the two major political parties are concerned, then this is an issue where I don’t believe there’s an effective ounce of difference between them.
Given the situation of Marxist national leaders in Venezuela and Brazil with strong ties to Cuba, and the numerous insurgencies still operating in Latin America and the thriving drug trade and rise of government corruption in Mexico, then the failure to address illegal immigration so as to stop it and secure our borders makes no sense either.
If it wasn't for the illegal aliens, your peaches and watermelons would cost a fortune. It's not rocket science, most of these people just want to make some money to send home. Why can't we invent a temp work visa and let them work, then go home. They get what they want, we get what we want, cheap peaches.
Well, this view is probably at least a couple to a few decades away from the present reality.
It’s not just migrant farm workers that are at issue in the matter of illegal immigration. Obviously, if migrant farm workers were the only issue, then it could be quite easily dealt with between the two nations. However, at the moment, most migrant farm workers are already making the circuit legally with green cards for the purpose. Our cheap produce is mostly due to imports from Latin America anyway -- hence the warnings about washing and sterilizing some of it first. . .
So you’re wrong, the illegal aliens are not the reason that peaches and watermelons don’t cost a fortune.
But you’re right, it’s not “rocket science.” When a nation with as many social welfare programs as even the US now has makes many of those programs available to illegal aliens, and when nation’s like Mexico have populations with widespread unemployment and the same with numerous Latin American nations south of Mexico, then it’s not surprising that there’s a large-scale migration from Latin America through Mexico and from Mexico into the United States.
And these are not just people who come to work to send money home and then return.
And they’re not just working in the agricultural industry but are displacing Americans in lower-paying jobs, including some skilled trades. Mexicans and Hondurans are intelligent and capable people who can learn to plumb and work as carpenters like anyone else.
By the way, Mexico will not tolerate the kind of illegal aliens that we will.
Mexico does nothing to stop those passing through from central America to the United States but it will not tolerate them staying in Mexico. Hence the mobilization of the Mexican army in its southern states and the sweeps by them for illegal aliens.
When an illegal alien is found, he is forthwith escorted to the southern border and deported (no worry about the family, furniture, or anything else. . . he’s gone). VERY much in contradiction to what the President of Mexico decries about US immigration policy in his caricatures of it as he addresses the state legislatures in US states along the border. What he decries is far more descriptive of Mexican policy and Mexican enforcement of it, than that of the United States.
The illegal immigration into the US is out of control. As American citizens are displaced from lower paying jobs, and wages are further deflated, then the pressures will also increase on our welfare system and Welfare Reform itself will probably become a mockery. . .
Certainly nothing at the moment is conducive to it over the long term.
In the context of the so-called GWAT, then the porous border is a pure mockery of any serious effort to defend our nation.
We don't even arm our Border Patrol adequately and the President's nephew is in Mexico publicly criticizing US immigration policies, including some that were driven by Mexico, and US Border Patrol agents as well.
Maybe when he gets back to the US he can have a bumper sticker made up that states "I support our Border Patrol" and make it all better, no?
Conscription is an option being avoided the administration.
If we paid these people a decent wage, conscription wouldn't be necessary. I remember only too well Zumi doubling my pay one year at the expense of Chiefs and Senior Officers.
At least from a practical perspective, some of what determines the needed number of military and naval personnel, not to mention the particular types of weapons, in wartime is first and foremost the particular enemy being faced, the Strategic doctrine and associated tactics projected to be used to defeat that enemy. That, and a realistic consideration of any others who might make themselves our enemy, and obviously the numbers committed to ongoing obligations that are intended to be met or retained (back to the UN obligations mentioned. . . ).. . .
I don’t know if wage increases for the armed forces will prove sufficient for needed numbers or not since the estimates aren't available in the first place it would seem. . . So I don’t have enough information, including what the estimated numbers are to even make a guess.
I do know that the All Volunteer armed forces are exceedingly expensive and recruiting numbers driven by non-defense related goals, such as percentage of females quotas increases and such. . . .
I will say that even to maintain current manning levels, then I don’t believe that pay increases will be sufficient, just as the large sign on bonuses have not been a sufficient draw to counter the decline in recruiting. Hence the band-aid fix of the "blue to green" program.
The outsourcing trend has been an interesting one and one that I strongly doubt will really save any expenses or spend them more efficiently.
The outsourcing of components and equipment is another one of those ultimately leading long term to the lack of native manufacturing and technological abilities that I find disconcerting. . .
Also, the modification of warships, bases and other facilities on the social engineering non-defense related goals are a quite substantial expenditure as well.
MOST Important however, is the question of manning levels in Iraq and the rotation so as to meet the committment.
One thing for sure, no Vietnam Veteran EVER experienced what our people in Iraq are experiencing now - the universal extension of the tour of duty enacted after most arrived.
Again, are we really at war? Is there such a thing as a War Effort underway in need of support?
The excess optimism is also reminiscent of the excess optimism of the Kennedy years regarding the tactics employed in Vietnam 1961 through early ’65, which was the least effective period of US involvement.
That was probably at least as much due to Kennedy's inept handling of the situation (granted he was over his head), followed by Johnsons preoccupation with his legacy and war on poverty until he got that done, and by then Vietnam was out of control.
Well, I do give President Kennedy the one allowance that in 1961, the Soviet-backed “national wars of liberation” conflicts were rising up throughout the world, in one nation after another on at least three major continents, simultaneously.
Vietnam was one of many to be dealt with simultaneously, although, also looked on as an ideal location by President Kennedy to show American resolve at the time.
It’s much easier now to look back at what was happening and that American intelligence was still unaware of. At the same time, that's not sufficient defense. I do believe that subsequent events have at least somewhat demonstrated that President Eisenhower’s belief that the north Vietnamese advance into the RVN would be best checked in Laos were far sounder.
No doubt President Johnson’s heart was in his Great Society and War on Poverty. As to getting it done, then I’m not aware that he ever did. The funding was left for President Nixon to provide. . . after that. . . did anyone get it done?
At any rate, as mentioned, and for numerous other reasons from what's been seen in recent months, I won’t be surprised in the least if an agreement is reached with the Russians and we being to see Russian troops joining the occupation effort in Iraq.
Works for me. |
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I obviously don’t have a clue whether this will actually happen or not. I just won’t be surprised, even in spite of the lack of success by courting Russia or the PRC in getting North Korea to discontinue the development of it’s nuclear program and the initially strong Russian opposition to the US invading Iraq. . . It will be a strange relationship if it comes about.
It is an important strategic region to Russia and the Russians are increasingly active again. We’ll see where it goes, or if it goes, or not.
Personally, I don't believe that either the new Republic of Russia or the People's Republic of China should be taken lightly by the US. Neither nation is going to sit back and be lectured to by the US so as to "learn" from it. Each has their own interests, will persue them and I don't believe will be looking to the US for any major "guidance" in national policy, philosophies or day to day affairs -- rather, quite the opposite. _________________ Paul
Last edited by Paul on Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:05 am; edited 4 times in total |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:53 am Post subject: aw movement in 1600 "US" |
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"Could it be there has been an anti-war movement in the U.S. since the 1600’s that varies from 45% to 55% of the voting public? {Lima Charlie}
Hi LC:
The answer is no. Because the US didn't exist in 1600.
Is that what you were looking for in this one with the "Keep It Simple Stupid" principle? _________________ Paul
Last edited by Paul on Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:51 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:43 am Post subject: Re: Constitution. . . |
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Neither do I believe that it's explained by the latest revisions of idiosyncratic interpretations of Dispensationalist's of the Book of Revelation or the Prophecy of Daniel in the bible and who are expecting the imminent return of Jesus Christ to re-establish an earthly kingdom in Jerusalem from which He will then offer animal sacrifices (even the thought of which I personally find bizarre).
Animal sacrifice as practiced in the Old testament is generally agreed to be a foreshadow of the sacrifice of Christ.
And the many found universally in numerous pre-Incarnation cultures as well as those in the Old Testament which is the reason for my reaction to this.
Granted there are an endless number of variations on the Christology of one sect to another at the moment. However, sticking with the most common, including over time, of Christians viewing Jesus Christ as perfect man (or else He would only have pretended to suffer and to die and His sacrifice would not have been a true sacrifice) and perfect God (or else there would be no atonement as a result of His Crucifixion for the sins of all that many might be saved through Him -- only God, and not a mere man, being able to atone for offenses against God), Redeemer of the world, Who died in the one eternal sacrifice of Calvary, and then rose from the dead . . . then the image of Jesus Christ Who Thomas referred to as "my Lord and my God" returning not in the Second Coming at the end of time but so as to establish an earthly kingdom and a restored temple in Jerusalem from which He will offer animal sacrifices (to Himself?) held by folks who call themselves Christians is one not only novel in that it was first introduced in the 19th century in Britain and the US, but, as noted, and in view of Christ and His Sacrifice, is an image that I can't help but find quite bizarre.
Beyond that the heavy emphasis upon wars and disasters coupled with the so-called "rapture" is quite disturbing as well. It's also quite novel and not a healthy combination. It's difficult not to envision the Ukraine in the mid 17th century and the bad results of the similar combination at that time, only among the eastern Polish Jews.
PS. Just curious, why do you add "sic" in your own replies when it's not a quote of anyone or anything that it's added to?
It means I think I made a spelling mistake but am in too much of a hurry to check it out. Spelling used to be one of my strong suits until I had to proof read some of my colleagues works as well as my childrens papers. I sometimes get anal about it.
[/quote][/quote]
Good deal. I wondered after I asked if it might not have to do with uncertainty on spelling. But, still I'd have asked because I wasn't sure. Thanks! _________________ Paul |
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I B Squidly Vice Admiral
Joined: 26 Aug 2004 Posts: 879 Location: Cactus Patch
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:49 am Post subject: GREAT TOPIC |
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Somehow we've digressed to 1600. In 1600 native Americans still had the military advantage both in numbers and relative military superiority (arrows had a rate of fire 6:1 over muskets). The Iroquios League could trade off the Dutch, the Brits or the French to their own advantage. In the southwest the Apaches had stolen the horse (hmm good eatin') to dominate the southern plains and begin centuries of depradation on what would become Mexico.
Later, the American Revolution would command the endorsement of about 34% of the population. 1812 less and the Mexican War even less. The Civil War is a wierd statistic because a basically Democratic country split on the future of slavery, split for a Republican electoral victory and re-united to protest Lincoln's call for troops. Northern Dems were worse than anything we see in today's Dems (Unlike Bush, Lincoln threw them in jail). Like the Brits the Spanish-American War was fought in an absence of mind. WWI was very unpopular as so many were recent immigres, few trusted the motives of our British ally, and only Wilson cared about the Peace 'Over There'. Benighted we are but there were many unhappy with the second war.
But the subject was Viet Nam and losing.
The fact is there was never anything to win in Viet Nam.
Ho Chi Minh had requested our help at Versailles in 1919 but was ignored. He saved our fliers in WWII and was recommended by the OSS in '46. We wanted the french in NATO/anti commintern program. They spent the next decade using former Wermacht troops to restore Algeria and 'Nam and lost. In '56 Matt Ridgeway reported to Ike that it would take 2 million troops to 'win' Viet Nam (that included the north) and another 1 million garrison troops indefinitely! The dubious hero of the lost PT109 sent observers that got stuck in the replacement of one Catholic plutocrat with another in a budhist state.Then LBJ determined that he would not lose Viet Nam as Truman lost China (hubris?) and opened the flood gates to the pent up Military Industrial Complex (Ike warned us about). Nixon's secret was to accept LBJ's peace after another election cycle. Winning was never a possibility or a consideration.
Yes, the North was vicious in victory and with abandoned US equipment bloodied the Chinese counter effort. They didn't take Thailand, the 'Domino Theory' was disproved and we're all left to wonder if decades of frustrated nationalism wasn't the cause the bloodbath.
The first Command Master Chief of the Army went to jail for stealing 5 million dollars from MACV. Officers got their tickets punched. And today the valiant vets of that sorry war are denied their just dignity.
The sorry truth is that no administration ever thought we could 'Win' Viet Nam.
Comes to mind the troops before Missionary Ridge at Chattanooga in November 1863. Grant ordered a demonstration against the ridge while Sherman took the emplacements on the left. Sherman never took those emplacements (he attacked the wrong hill) and the troops before the ridge got tired of taking fire and on their own swarmed Missionary Ridge and the Democraric rebs fled in terror. Grants command was baffled. Were that a war was determined by the men who fought. |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 1:28 pm Post subject: helluva try |
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"Somehow we've digressed to 1600." {I B Squidly}
Very good. I admire any attempt made to summarize 400 years, no matter how bad, good, mediocre or whatever it may actually be. This deserves a star for effort at least.
Although, by 1600, Mexico was already firmly established and the Catholic Archdiocese of Mexico City had already established the Diocese of Manila in the Philippine Islands that John Kerry was to visit in the 1960s (just to make at least a token attempt at at getting him back in this string . . . ) and Spain was about ten years into the colonization of New Mexico, as well as vast other portions of the Americas and around the world.
The Brits hadn't even arrived in what was to become the US yet. The tiny failed James colony (Elizabeth’s only rather pathetic colonization attempt during her reign -- lousy location -- middle of a swamp, hot and mosquito infested in the summer, bitter cold in the winter, and surrounded by hostile natives -- unsurprisingly disappeared never to be heard from again) was still seven years distant and the puritans arriving at Plymouth Rock was still decades away.
The various Apache (not their own name) tribes were primarily in the mountainous region of the present day southwest US and northern Mexico. Comanche’s and other tribes became the horseman that dominated the southern plains.
What, no mention of the Seminole war?
"Winning was never a possibility or a consideration" {I B Squidly}
Badly phrased. Winning, even on the basis of the US policy of stopping Communist Aggression, was more than possible.
The only thing there was never a possibility of winning in the first place or consideration of winning was a conventional war against north Vietnam.
This gets back to a point made earlier about the US effort in Vietnam that one can't win what one has never set out to win in the first place.
The US never declared its intention to win a war against north Vietnam. The US never formally declared war against the north Vietnamese in Vietnam (a mistake on the part of the US).
A consistent policy was not to extend the conflict into north Vietnam (the PRC put the fear of "Chinese hordes" into US leaders with its application of its military doctrine of Active Defense in Korea 1950-1953). US leaders rightly believed (since the PRC policy has now been confirmed by PRC files) that if US forces entered north Vietnam, then the People's Liberation Army Forces would enter the war against them in order to prevent the defeat of north Vietnam.
The US did fail to meet its full objective of stopping Communist aggression in southeast Asia from Indochina and southward across the straights of Malacca. On the basis of failing to accomplish its steadily declared goal of stopping Communist aggression in Indochina, the US lost in Vietnam (Laos and Cambodia) by abandoning it's anti-Communist allies.
The biggest losers were those fighting to win their own countries and resist the Soviet-backed Soviet-PRC supplied North Vietnamese invasion but lost and whose countries were subsequently conquered as a result: The South Vietnamese, the Laotians and the Cambodians. One Quarter million South Vietnamese & 58,000 American soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines and 1.4 million north Vietnamese died in the Vietnam Conflict.
Attaining the objective was more than a possibility. It could have been done. The US could have won its goal and defeated the Soviet-backed, Soviet-PRC supplied north Vietnamese invasion.
"bloodied the Chinese counter effort." {I B Squidly}
"counter effort" is a strange term. It's not at all descriptive of the PRC assault on Vietnam in 1979 for the purpose of 'teaching the Vietnamese a lesson.'
The Red Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) lost tens of thousands of soldiers in the month or so long assault on Vietnam by Chinese armor, artillery and infantry (no PLA air or naval support was ever employed) that occupied about a 15 mile strip across the entire north, bloodied the Vietnamese militias that resisted them (due to the regular forces being committed to the Soviet equipped Vietnamese Army invasion of Cambodia at the time) even worse than the Vietnamese bloodied them, inflicting far more casualties on the Vietnamese, destroyed most of the structures in the strip it occupied and then withdrew, declaring that it had taught the Vietnamese (who the People's Republic of China derided publicly as the "Cubans of Asia", a lesson).
The PRC did demonstrate to the Vietnamese that the Soviets (who the Vietnamese had just signed a mutual defense pact with) would do nothing to assist Vietnam (the Soviets failed to even mobilize Soviet forces on the northern Chinese border in response) and did exert some modifying effects on other VN policies.
There were no protests or marches in the streets anywhere around the world in protest to that blatant act of naked aggression. . . Jimmy Carter was President of the US at the time, was notified in advance by the PRC of its intention, but has never spoken much about it over the years. . .
"They didn't take Thailand, the 'Domino Theory' was disproved" {I B Squidly}
No, this is incorrect. The 'Domino Theory' has not been disproved (only in the minds and imaginations of some individuals. . . ).
The Soviet-backed Soviet-PRC supplied north Vietnamese conquered the US and allied abandoned Republic of Vietnam. The PRC-backed Kmer Rouge conquered Cambodia. Sophisticated Piracy activities (that continue to this day) began in the straights of Malacca shortly thereafter. . . The Soviet-backed Vietnamese conquered the former Kingdom of Laos. . . The Soviet navy occupied the former US naval station at Cam Ranh Bay. . . The Vietnamese then invaded Cambodia. . . The People's Republic of China invaded Vietnam to teach the "Cubans of Asia" Vietnamese it's lesson. . . .
The extent of the impact the internal conflicts between Soviet and PRC backed Communist forces had in the region of blunting any further conquests beyond the RVN, Laos and Cambodia still remains to be objectively studied.
However, enough exists to at least be curious about it, particularly with the recent release of PRC records from the time indicating the effects of the US diplomatic efforts with the PRC of 1972 (the Nixon initiatives did serve to create mistrust and further divide the Soviet Union and the PRC while also resulting in the PRC vastly increasing its immediate materiel and munitions support to north Vietnam '72 through '75. . . ).
Not least of all due to the negative image of Richard Nixon, among a good deal else, it probably won't be objectively studied by a member of the Boomer generation, but then again, who knows, anything is possible. . .
The extent of the time purchased for the new and existing states of Southeast Asia to develop so as to block Communist aggression across the straights is indicated by the results themselves:
Thailand was sufficiently strong enough in 1975 to be a quite formidable obstacle against Communist aggression. Indonesia had defeated the PRC-backed coup attempt by 1966 and by 1975 was firmly anti-communist and a sufficiently developed nation itself. The same for Singapore and Malaysia. And the Communists were fighting each other in the mid to late 70s in Indochina.
The fact is there was never anything to win in Viet Nam. {I B Squidly}
Well, one may think that there was nothing 'worth' winning, particularly if one is not a south Vietnamese, Laotian or Cambodian (actually, even north Vietnamese), but obviously this statement is grossly wrong.
Ho Chi Minh's efforts in 1919 and 1945 or his 'declaration of independence' indicate nothing whatsoever beyond the fact that Ho Chi Minh was a determined man. He was one among many and nothing more. . . They are of no more importance than the similar efforts of and declarations made by Emilio Aguinaldo y Famy in the Philippines. Only the final end results of the movements led by the respective leaders were different. Emilio and his people were a genuine insurgency that stood alone. Ho was a Soviet puppet. The two men died within about five years of each other. The US response to the efforts and declarations of both men at the time they made them was correct and proper.
Which Iraqi movement would one really want to bet on today will be around 30 years from now? Which of the many individual Iraqis making claims today should be acknowledged? Probably none of them at the moment.
Ho Chi Minh's Soviet-backed Communist Vietnamese movement is merely the one to have survived and to have ultimately won. _________________ Paul |
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USAF66-70 Lt.Jg.
Joined: 26 Aug 2004 Posts: 136
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:20 pm Post subject: Bottom line Vietnam & Iraq |
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Gawd, fantastic thread Paul & SL!
Confirms my own bottom line view of the Vietnam War issue regarding winning/losing: As LBJ indicated (on his tapes), “It wasn’t winnable.” And even if in theory it may have been winnable, “groupthink” of those in charge precluded that possibility. (Nevertheless, millions of us served honorably, which is another issue.)
However Paul, regarding current events, you say: “Bottom line, ask me today what I think knowing what we know now, then the US attacked the wrong target for a lot of very bad reasons given since.”
The reality is that we never “know” everything, still don’t as far as I can tell, and frankly probably never will. And there will always be dissenting POVs among various experts.
An indecisive Jimmy Carter almost certainly would not have gone into Iraq; I doubt he’d have gone into Afghanistan either, or if he had, he’d probably have done it half-ass. (I have no idea what Kerry would do.)
On the other hand, Bush, Rummy, Tenant, etc. believed WMDs were slam-dunk, as did most other world leaders, regardless of whatever dissenting POVs may have been out there. If I’d been in their shoes, decisive guy that I am, I’m reasonably certain I too would have made the same call, especially in light of our 9/11 prior history of not having acted decisively enough regarding terrorist threats.
Consider this: Say next week we do indeed finally find those elusive WMDs. Perhaps it’s unlikely, but I don’t think it’s entirely impossible, even at this late date, so humor me: Wouldn’t that make your Monday morning analysis rather flawed? (Although I suppose your point about Iraq being an inadequately prepared for crap hole after our swift victory (I paraphrase) would still have some validity.)
Bottom line, IMHO: Based on the circumstances and all that was known, a decisive leader had to deal with Iraq.
USAF 66-70
Fred H.
Atlanta GA |
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LimaCharlie PO2
Joined: 25 Aug 2004 Posts: 386 Location: Oregon
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Posted: Thu Sep 02, 2004 10:46 pm Post subject: Re: aw movement in 1600 "US" |
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Paul wrote: | "Could it be there has been an anti-war movement in the U.S. since the 1600’s that varies from 45% to 55% of the voting public? {Lima Charlie}
Hi LC:
The answer is no. Because the US didn't exist in 1600.
Is that what you were looking for in this one with the "Keep It Simple Stupid" principle? |
Sorry, but history records pacifists and anti-war movements from Plymouth Rock through today including every conflict and war before and after the United Sates was officially formed. _________________ I was going to become an anarchist, but they had too many rules. |
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sore loser Ensign
Joined: 10 Aug 2004 Posts: 62 Location: Motown, MI
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Posted: Fri Sep 03, 2004 1:01 am Post subject: |
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Hi Paul,
The replies are getting too complicated to keep quoting, so let me make a few points. At this point in my life, I'm trying to lauch a new truck in the next few months which requires 10 or so hours a day, plus plant about 10,000 square feet of grass at home, repair/re-new a 1000 sq foot deck, and about 30 other tasks. So if I misread your replies, write it off to haste. I can't stand to not read and reply, I've been waiting 30 years to talk to somebody who understands where I've been.
Epistomology is the study of how to "know" something. It's a branch of philosophy. Fortunately I've never know a philosopher who wouldn't say in 100,000 words, what we could say in just a few. Which is the long way around the barn to say a semesters study can be reduced to a few paragraphs.
There are 3 ways to know something.
You can make a theory and then gather the facts to back the theory up. The problem with this mode is you tend to discard facts that don't agree with the theory. The prime example, one that I beat over my colleagues haeds is the earth is the center of the universe. Back in the day, the Scientists, by decree had to prove the earth was the center of the universe. So they invented equations that would predict the movements of heavenly bodies based upon the notion that the earth was the center of the universe. It worked amazingly well except for one exception called epicycles. Some of the bodies would be moving say west to east as predicted, and then would suddenly reverse direction for a short time, and then again resume the predicted path. No matter what they did, this phenomena was totally unpredictable. But other than that the theory worked. But there was only one problem, and that was the earth isn't the center of the universe. So epicycles got blown off until Copernicus died and published his book that the earth wasn't the center of the universe, gave the correct theory and then life went on. The church had deceed the earth was the center of the universe by misinterpreting the scriptures, and death was the penalty of disagreement, which is why Copernicus waited until he was almost dead before telling somebody else about his book and what to do with it.
Another way to know something is to gather all of the facts and make a theory. The problem with this mode is you never know if you have all of the relevent facts. This is what I was saying earlier. I was possessed of a few facts, made a theory (Saddam was involved with 9/11). As more facts became available, I adjusted my theory.
The last mode is to go to the source of the truth. For some, this doesn't have a practicle application, but we still use it all of the time. If a child says he did poorly in a class because the teacher hates him, we go to the teacher to find out why. It often turns out the child may have failed because of other reasons.
Next!
Leveling down was a notion included in my "It's gonna suck for awhile" statement. All else you said about it is true also. We are going to end up being a hamburger flipping nation before things get better, so to speak. Again haste was needed when I wrote that.
Next!
My point was that our politicians know that taxes are too high and while not the total solution, they are a significant part of it. They can help make us competitive. Toyota focuses on no more than 10 models. Their quality is the envy of the world. But as they expand their line up their quality is suffering. GM has almost 70 models, and has several models that rank higher than Toyota, albeit Lexus still rules the roost. Not to mention GM has the UAW and the higher wages, higher retirement costs, higher medical bills, at al. If the American buying public ever gets it, the the quality differences between the Big 3 and the japanese are rapidly approaching zero, we'll be able to compete on equal footing with them, other challenges notwithstanding. Sooner or later the challenges of the Big 3 are going to catch up with everyone else too. But I digress. They, the politicians, also ought to know by now that putting people to work both gets people off the dole, and gets more people paying the lower taxes. Everybody who has tried this has found it to be so. Kennedy, Reagan and others I don't recall tight now. 20% of the people pay 80% of the dollars in taxes. Give more to them, ie reduce taxes, they can only stick so much in the mattress (consume), so they invest the rest, put people to work. We just got through this with Reagans cuts, and the so-called Clinton prosperity of the 90's. Dubya weathered the correction of that period, and who knows whats next. He lowered the taxes so we should see another period of prosperity and the next guy, whoever it is will get the credit, not Dubya if he doesn't get re-elected. Like everything else there is no doubt this can go too far, like the old needle on the carburator, you can make the engine too lean and too rich. But get taxation at the right point, life is good. I agree, nothing is going to be done about it soon.
I don't think I said getting into the war to depose a brutal tyrant like Saddam is ok. I think I said even if we were wrong about the WMD, I'm glad we did it. But I don't think we are wrong about the WMD. I think they will turn up sooner or later. Also we now don't have him, Saddam, paying $25,000 to the family of a bomber. Not the big reason to go there either, but one less reason for somebody to blow themselves up. There are upsides to our actions. And yes we are not in the cold war arena we've spent the last 60 years preparing for, and yes we made a lot of mistakes in Iraq. We didn't do so hot at Kasserine Pass either(our first battle in WW2), but we sucked it up, made the adjustments, and got on with it. As you have pointed out here, we sucked in Vietnam at first, but by the time I got there, 71, we were running out of paper to take the names of all of the butts that were getting kicked. I see no reason we won't do the same with these butthead terrorists and ultimately prevail, assumming the peaceniks don't prevail. But even if they win out, a few more incidents like the Trade Towers will put them out of favor. I don't see us not ultimately winning out, even if it costs us more lives at home here.
By the way, you are right I did say I lived in London Ontario for 3 years somewhere in here. I understand the confusion now.
Even if a boost in wages doesn't help with recruiting, it will get the lower ranks off Food Stamps etc, which is a disgrace to my way of thinking. When I was fixing A6's I used to get told I was making equal wages with my civilian counter part. I don't know who they were comparing me to, but the crabs we had from Grumman and every other supplier were living in WO country aboard ship, in the hotel paid by Grumman when we were in port, and having ther liberty charged to Grumman, not to mention basic wage difference. I guessed I missed something somewhere.
Don't underestimate the real threat posed by radical Islam. They want to take over the world and convert everyone, usually at the point of a sword, if all else fails. Most just want to live their lives. My grandfather was Shia. He was low key. But I wish I still had that link to an article about the mullah in France who was getting expelled because he wrote a book on how to beat your wife in accordance with the Koran. On his way out he was calling for the Muslims to rise up and take over France like they have done in other places in eastern Europe. If that isn't exactly right it's something like that.
With no disrespect to our Air Force friends here, I think that is an outfit that needs to be broken up. Give whatever they call MAC and TAC these days back to the Army, the Nukes to a Nuke central command that owns everything nuke, assuming there is still a need, I think there is, but I'm not as current as I ought to be, and I don't really know what to do with the rest. Them boys can do research like nobody else. I guess things have changed, the air force works more with the ground forces now, but I still think they spend way to much on research and not enough on trash haulers, unglamorous as that is. That the the Army Chief of Staff has to go hat in hand to the Air Force for a ride to the war is UNSAT in my alleged mind, especially since it take months to get everyone and everyting in place. More trash haulers, less F-117's that can't fight, more trash haulers, less planes that cost $550 meg apiece. We've never won a war from 50,000 feet yet, with anybody who shoots back that is. We won WW2 because we had tens of thousands of substandard things like P38's, and boots on the ground.
We have to eliminate these radicals wherever they are, what ever it takes, one by one if necessary, and every single one. Some day they will grow up and enter the world community like so many of their muslim fellows. In the mean time.....
I gotta get to work again friend. I look forward to your reply. _________________ The Supercarrier.
95,000 tons of diplomacy.
4.5 acres of sovereign US territory.
Any time. Any place.
CVAN-65 and VA-196
The Big "E" and The Main Battery |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:22 am Post subject: Re: aw movement in 1600 "US" |
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LimaCharley wrote: | Paul wrote: | "Could it be there has been an anti-war movement in the U.S. since the 1600’s that varies from 45% to 55% of the voting public? {Lima Charlie}
Hi LC:
The answer is no. Because the US didn't exist in 1600.
Is that what you were looking for in this one with the "Keep It Simple Stupid" principle? |
Sorry, but history records pacifists and anti-war movements from Plymouth Rock through today including every conflict and war before and after the United Sates was officially formed. |
Hi LC:
The first response was tongue in cheek playing around - hence the clarity in emphasizing the answer was based on the United States not being in existece in the 1600s and the associated "smily."
As to your gratuitous response about "history records", then I'll give an equally gratuitous response: Does not. _________________ Paul
Last edited by Paul on Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:17 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2004 11:53 am Post subject: Re: Bottom line Vietnam & Iraq |
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"Confirms my own bottom line view of the Vietnam War issue regarding winning/losing: As LBJ indicated (on his tapes), “It wasn’t winnable.” And even if in theory it may have been winnable, “groupthink” of those in charge precluded that possibility. (Nevertheless, millions of us served honorably, which is another issue.)" {USAF66-70}
Hi Fred:
Keep in mind, the public rhetoric about ultimate US success in Vietnam and the strength of US "resolve" by Presidents Kennedy and Johnson, and members of their administrations, was quite consistent and quite forceful, 1961 through to the end of 1967.
Talk is cheap, no? Even if it's a US President or Senator who's running his mouth. _________________ Paul
Last edited by Paul on Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:09 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:06 pm Post subject: Re: Bottom line Vietnam & Iraq |
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"However Paul, regarding current events, you say: “Bottom line, ask me today what I think knowing what we know now, then the US attacked the wrong target for a lot of very bad reasons given since.” {USAF66-70}
Hi Fred:
That was only my summization in that portion of the reply to SL in that one post. Don't read too much into this. I've provided more than enough above regarding how much was questioned and some of why back in 2002 and why it's not a matter of "20/20 hindsight" only [more on that to come].
As to this, I got to the point in the reply that I wanted to end the reply to SL and the question posed by President Bush to Senator Kerry a month or so back came to mind.
I only used an answer the question that was posed in public by the President to Senator Kerry. I should have preceded that summation with something like, ‘in response to the question posed by President Bush. . .”
By the way, that exchange over that question, and including it, I believe to have been quite worthless -- The debate in 2004 about what one would do in 2002 if known now is only one more an example of the problem of the cowardice of our national leaders right back to 2001, Executive and Congressional, in their failure to have made a formal declaration acknowledging the state of war we are in and instead only providing a 2002 version of an updated "Gulf of Tonkin" resolution -- my friends heard my complaints about it and disgust at it and them back at the time the gutless wonders pass it as well -- this is NOT a new lesson that we should have to be relearning; although, in the case of our present national leaders, I think it's more "re-experiencing" than it is "re-learning". It’s all the more pathetic coming as a result of an attack on our nation that dwarfs the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor on 7 Dec 1941. We really are burdened with sorry national leaders at the moment -- and from both major parties. _________________ Paul |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:15 pm Post subject: Re: Bottom line Vietnam & Iraq |
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"Consider this: Say next week we do indeed finally find those elusive WMDs. Perhaps it’s unlikely, but I don’t think it’s entirely impossible, even at this late date, so humor me: Wouldn’t that make your Monday morning analysis rather flawed? (Although I suppose your point about Iraq being an inadequately prepared for crap hole after our swift victory (I paraphrase) would still have some validity.)" {USAF66-70}
Hi Fred:
First, thanks for asking this.
Granted since the exchange between SL and myself is spread out, it can be missed, however, if you look back above, then you’ll see that I make no “Monday morning analysis” whatsoever. I questioned it in 2002.
You’ll also see that I address the question that even if Iraq had WMD, then even the mere possession alone was not enough to justify invading Iraq. What was the relation to 9-11 and to those who have been waging war upon openly since 1993?
As to the discovery of WMD, if one should be made, no, it wouldn’t automatically make my analysis flawed. It might only understate its soundness, depending on what’s found?
If something is found, then first I’d be curious what it is. If a chemical or the majority of biological weapons, then, where the majority of chemicals and biological agents are concerned, no it probably wouldn’t change the analysis at all or automatically justify the US invasion. Unless we found a couple squadrons of pirated Iraqi B-52s with aerosol delivery systems with them somewhere as well. Let’s face it, those cheap little drones were a joke. . .
If nuclear material were found, which wouldn’t surprise me in the least, then that’s not an automatic either. A small nuclear device would be of interest.
In the end, however, it’s the ties to terrorist that are of importance regarding how violable or not a threat of attack by Iraq against the US truly was, or wasn’t.
By the way, a small nuclear device is of concern to me, especially where an enemy like Al Qaida is concerned. It’s why I emphasis that the rabble being fought now in Iraq or such as the rabble on the West Bank are NOT of importance in the matter of fighting the organizations that have waged war upon us since 1993 on the basis of the very public and specific reasons that they’ve give (which don’t include overthrowing the West and depriving us of our hedonistic way of life . . . other such nonsense that we hear ad nauseum. . . BEGINNING, I will remind you, stated publicly by numerous of those who opposed any US military response at all as early as October 2001).
However, and in spite of the fact that Senator Kerry has stated it, it is all quite useful to Al Qaida and other similar enemies. They'll make substantial use of this in their propaganda. It will probably aid recruiting. _________________ Paul |
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Paul Lieutenant
Joined: 24 Jul 2004 Posts: 206 Location: Port Arthur, Texas
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Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2004 12:56 pm Post subject: Re: Bottom line Vietnam & Iraq |
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"Bottom line, IMHO: Based on the circumstances and all that was known, a decisive leader had to deal with Iraq. " {USAF66-70}
Hi Fred:
With all due respect:
The US spent one year dinking around over the question of whether or not to invade Iraq. Most of it was spent arguing about irrelevancies such as un-enforced Security Council resolutions in the UN and other such nonsense.
That after a brief and limited campaign in Afghanistan where we blew up a bunch of old Soviet garbage equipment in our air campaign [dependant totally upon the Air Force for lack of the navy's new fighter bomber at the time thereby leaving what aircraft naval aviation has relied upon since the decisions of the first Bush Administration placing the theatre out of range), had the local rag-tag militias do the fighting for us, and allowed the bulk of Al Qaida, along with Osama Bin Laden to escape.
All took place in the context of a period that included the various events in in the western Pacific with the PRC and North Korea that the US was amazingly (as it has continued to do since) kow towing to.
There are no questions whatsoever regarding North Korea's possessing WMD now or in 2002. Since the North Korean admission in June of this year, there's no question regarding the military compoent of the nuclear program they admitted to having in 2002 and after the missile launches (in reply to the US?) of 2002 and since, there's no question about their ability to deliver thermo-nuclear warheads in strikes against the western United States.
All of the dragging out and arguments on irrelevant issues at the UN was for the purpose of gaining a UN "blessing" for the invasion of the WEAKEST of the three nations dubbed the "axis of evil" and the one with the LEAST to no history of supporting international terrorism.
Iran was listed in 2002 by our own state Department as the number one supporter of international terrorism. It has a long history of supporting NGO Para-military organizations, nationalist, nihilist, Marxist. . . that engage in terrorist tactics. Another "context" of 2002 was the illegal arms shipment from North Korea that was interdicted in the middle east while the absurd debate about invading, or not invading, Iraq DRUG ON at the UN.
Dragging it all out over the course of a year also gave time for the new anti-war pacifist movement to organize world-wide; effectively in fact.
In the end, the UN "blessing" being sought through all of that nonsense over all of those MONTHS was never received (no surprise - the illegal oil contracts with Iraq and other nations has been a think tank issue for years now, prior to 2001 even).
If you call THAT "decisive," then you either didn't pay attention to very much in 2002 that was public information and publicly available or I believe that you have a very LOW standard regarding what you call "decisive."
I can list a great deal more. These were the most obviuosly public.
Further, if Iraq was associated with 9-11 or posed an immediate and imminent threat to the United States, then months of debate at the UN were not necessary.
And neither was any NONSENSE rhetoric about invading so as to "liberate" Iraq.
This is the United States of America. Not Khrushchev’s Soviet Union.
Given the philosophical and political background of most of the so-called "neo-conservatives" (and self-named by the way--and it's a ridiculous and in no way descriptive label), the old Marxist rhetoric and reasoning inherent in the "liberation" nonsense doesn't surprise me. I do find it disturbing.
At any rate, I'm old fashioned. I believe that enemies that pose an immanent and direct threat or that have attacked us directly (as has happened) should be engaged, defeated and if a nation, occupied. Repair the infrastructure out of decency and then withdraw.
Hey, even in April of this year -- NOTHING-little Fallujah and the insurgents should have been ground into the sand. President Bush ran his mouth and then ordered our forces to back down.
Primarily however, is my disgust with our national leaders for their failure to aggressively focus upon those who attacked us on 9-11 so as to annihilate them.
Our “leaders” have been decisive in stupid matters and indecisive in critical ones. That's a bad combination. Hence my agreement with Sore Loser's statement about the administration being surprised by the post-invasion resistance. In other words, they were inept even in their attack of the wrong target. Would to God they'd have been as indecisive about Iraq as they've been with those who have attacked us and who we are at war with.
Indecisive in dealing with a very capable enemy that has been attacking us since 1993 and whose first attack inside the United States in 1993 resulted in about a thousand casualties and whose 2001 attack resulted in a about 3,000 deaths (but which intended tens of thousands).
I've made no secret of my disgust for Senator Kerry or even that I personally view George Bush as the 21st century Republican version of Jimmy Carter and see him as decisive in precisely the way that Jimmy Carter was always decisive; making bad and stupid decisions, setting bad precedents and with bad long-term consequences.
In this case, a big one in that we attacked the wrong target. And a VERY major target at that.
With that said, then I'll add that I don't entirely agree with Sore Loser's remark here that:
"a few more incidents like the Trade Towers will put them [the peaceniks] out of favor. I don't see us not ultimately winning out, even if it costs us more lives at home here."
It may be the result of further attacks. However, it's possible that the converse will be the result of further attacks.
I do believe because of our inability to have decisively responded to the September 11, 2001 attacks in 2001, and the inept "GWAT", that such attacks are likely.
Because we've failed to aggressively go after the enemy who has been waging war on us, and because of attacking the wrong target and the bad consequences associated with it, and the failure to have even begun to substantially address the security of our borders that further attacks on our nation are VERY likely. And, most likely on the scale of 9-11 or worse.
However, if our nation has sunk so low that this has been the response to an assault as deadly and as competent as 9-11 that murdered thousands and intended to murder tens of thousands, then further such assaults may actually result in a defeat.
It won't be an "Islamic overthrow" of the United States. That's a fantasy.
Hence my disgust even to the point of referring to the President is the 21st Century Republican version of Jimmy Carter, which I don't believe is an exaggeration.
Jimmy Carter, by the way, was not indecisive. Would to God that he had been on a number of bad policies that he rammed through and which bad precedents and consequences remain to this day. Not the least of which is the Department of Education that he founded in 1979, which the Republican Party pledged in its ‘Contract with America’ in 1995 to abolish and that the Bush Administration led the Republican leadership in the Congress in the most massive Federal Funding of via the "No Child Left Behind Act" of Ted Kennedy.
Someone needs to tell our "decisive leader" that this is not the US of the 1960s and 1970s. It can't afford a war and a Great Society splurge of social spending, or, we no longer have a nation capable of a "guns and butter" budget. That's what it means to be a Debtor Nation. This further destablization of our economy and culture does not bode well for the US. _________________ Paul |
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USAF66-70 Lt.Jg.
Joined: 26 Aug 2004 Posts: 136
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Posted: Sat Sep 04, 2004 2:38 pm Post subject: |
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Paul: Your characterization of the Iraq/WMD 10/02 Authorization for the Use of Military Force Against Iraq as a “2002 version of an updated Gulf of Tonkin resolution” strikes me as out of all proportion. Saddam had and used WMD, most people in the world were convinced he still had them and was crazy enough to use them again, and there were lots of UN resolutions he wasn’t complying with regarding the WMD.
And actually Paul, you ARE making a “Monday morning analysis” when you state: “…ask me today what I think knowing what we know now, then the US attacked the wrong target…”
Be that as it may, I’m not seeing where you: “…address the question that even if Iraq had WMD, then even the mere possession alone was not enough to justify invading Iraq.”
What I do see is your following statement (Sep 02, 2004 4:45 am post):
Quote: | The lack of ability to address the questions [whether “Iraq did not have WMD”] by those who were advocating something as serious as the invasion of another nation I did find disturbing. Especially since we dinked around for almost a year arguing it with the UN security council. . . There was no real substantial debate on Iraq in this country and it wasn’t due to lack of time or lack of anyone raising questions and objections. Those who did were frequently enough claimed to be anti-Semite, racist, defeatist, anti-American.. . . It was ridiculous. |
However, if indeed it’s your view that “if Iraq had WMD, then even the mere possession alone was not enough to justify invading Iraq,” then that is another issue, and really the only issue; and you and SL, and I too, have wasted lots of verbiage. What’s your rationale for that POV? It’s looking like your gripe may be with the neo-cons? Perhaps I should just pick up Pat Buchanan's new book?
And also brother Paul, proverb for the day: In many words and in many dreams there is great vanity.
USAF66-70
Fred H.
Last edited by USAF66-70 on Sun Sep 05, 2004 1:37 am; edited 3 times in total |
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