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Hammer2 · PO2 Joined: 30 Aug 2004 Posts: 387 Location: Texas

Looking good everyone!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Electoral%20College%20Projection.htm
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neverforget · Vice Admiral Joined: 18 Jul 2004 Posts: 875

Does look pretty good. But I want 7% leads. I watched this Sheila Tubbs (D-OH) on Dayside today claiming there is suppression of the Democrat and Black vote going on in Ohio. She was rabid and foul-mouthed. This indicates to me they are getting ready to make Ohio this election year's "Florida."
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Anker-Klanker · Posted: Thu Oct 07, 2004 11:31 pm Post subject:

Neverforget: I saw that Sheila Tubbs (D-OH) interview too. I did have to laugh at how the audience reacted to her, though (almost total derision). But she reminded me again of the mindless dirty tricks that are going on all over the place, so what with poll numbers swinging in every direction, with all the interpretations, I've decided one simply cannot believe or put one's faith in any poll anymore.

Hoping that Kerry is defeated, but in the meantime I'm not going to take it for a given - which means we've got to do everything possible in the remaining time left. Eternal vigilance (at least until we can stand down)

BB Stacker · Seaman Joined: 20 Aug 2004 Posts: 150 Location: Eustis Fl

I was just watching Chris Mathews. The talking heads were saying that Kerry leads or is tied in all the battle ground states. One of us is drinking coolaide.

Fort Campbell · Vice Admiral Joined: 31 Aug 2004 Posts: 896

More on State Polls:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/pastpolls.html

neverforget · Vice Admiral Joined: 18 Jul 2004 Posts: 875

Whacker77 · Ensign Joined: 06 Sep 2004 Posts: 55

Chris Matthews is using John Zogby's interactive email results. To no one's surprise, Kerry has lead in 14 or 15 of the 17 states all year. No one outside of Zogby and Matthews take them seriosly.

Endaar · Posted: Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:50 am Post subject:

hanna · Rear Admiral Joined: 07 Aug 2004 Posts: 701

That woman made me wanna PUKE, AFTER she made me angry, but then again, she is an idiot....oh gee I can't make up my mind:))))

Skypilot · Posted: Fri Oct 08, 2004 7:04 am Post subject:

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Steve Z · Posted: Fri Oct 08, 2004 2:30 pm Post subject: State Polls

It does seem like the emphasis of the campaign is shifting from Florida to Ohio. Bush is running well ahead in Florida--his quick and decisive response to the hurricane victims probably helped him there. But in Ohio, pre-debate polls had Bush leading by 5-7 points, but the first post-debate polls (ARG, SUSA) show Bush down by 1.

ARG poll: http://americanresearchgroup.com/ohg/

SUSA poll: http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/OH041005xpreswsenv.pdf

The Cheney/Edwards debate (in Ohio) should help Bush, but he could ill afford to lose Ohio. He might be able to overcome an Ohio loss by winning Wisconsin and Minnesota, or Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Mexico.

It still seems like any future campaign ads (including SBVT ads) should target Ohio, which will probably be the ultimate swing state this year (as Florida was in 2000).
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P. Aaron · Posted: Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:06 pm Post subject:

Just show up on time at the polls, and call your friends and make sure they do too. And vote for Bush. It's the only shot we have at getting our vote out and keeping sKerry's hands off the levers of power.

Unlike many democrats we can't (in good conscience) cross state lines and vote again. Plus, republicans and conservatives skills on the Ouija Board are lacking:

Steve Z · Posted: Fri Oct 08, 2004 3:13 pm Post subject: Widely Varying Polls

I'm beginning to wonder how many of these polls can be trusted, given the wide variation in the results:

Colorado:

Gallup, 10/3-6: Bush 49 Kerry 49
Mason-Dixon, 10/4-6: Bush 50 Kerry 41

Whom do you believe?
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Grateful for SBV · Seaman Recruit Joined: 21 Aug 2004 Posts: 20

I don't understand the polls! According to most internals....Men support Bush over Kerry by 0ver 8 %, Women now support Bush over Kerry by 2 %, 51% of independent voters support Bush, Catholic voters support Bush 2:1, Veterans support Bush 4:1, and the latest worry for Democrats is that their support among Black voters is less than for Gore. How can Kerry be leading if the internals are correct????

neverforget · Vice Admiral Joined: 18 Jul 2004 Posts: 875

The internals are showing that President Bush leads in the groups most likely to vote by history.

New Colorado poll today by Denver Post has President Bush up 50 to 41.
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1965-1971