SwiftVets.com

ProudDaughterofVet

Finally..we are here..now, as someone who used to do this type of work, I would like to offer some assistance in what to watch for:

Be advised that the campaigns will begin to receive exit polling at 2pm.
Check with drudge frequently during the day..he will update as he can.

Watch turn out in cities, urban areas..minority voting, suburban voting.
Watch the faces of the representatives of both parties, as they talk on tv. Already I am beginning to see the Washington Post say that the Evangelical vote is 50%HIGHER THAN they predict than in 2004..(example of what the spin will be in just one case)
Listen to the campaign representatives from both sides..LISTEN to the words they use..We think compared to "we know"

Subtle, I know..but by 6pm you will know..and I am confident of our victory already..revised..Bush 53% Kerry 47%

Have a great fun day..OH< HAPPY HAPPY DAY!!!!

PD
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coolhand · PO3 Joined: 26 Aug 2004 Posts: 255 Location: MA/RI

Don't be a sucker for early exit polls. They are heavily weighted with college kids, union workers, retirees and other Democratic constituents. The DNC will spin this like craxy and try to suck the energy out of the central and western states. Beware.

Inatizzy · Former Member Joined: 28 Sep 2004 Posts: 439

Ya know I have never been exit polled, but if I was, and someone asked me on my way out of the booth who I voted for, I would tell them it was none of their freakin business!

nightingale97 · Ensign Joined: 20 Aug 2004 Posts: 50 Location: Texas

Drudge is saying Kerry within "striking distance" in FL and OH. That could be 4 points?..Not worried then.
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WallaceNails · Seaman Apprentice Joined: 07 Aug 2004 Posts: 89

Election 2004 has been rocked with first wave of exit polls which show Kerry competitive in key states, campaign and media sources tell DRUDGE.... National Election Pool -- representing six major news organization -- shows Kerry in striking distance -- with small lead -- in Florida and Ohio.. MORE...

KERRY CAMPAIGN FINDS COMFORT IN FIRST BATCH OF EXIT POLLS

"Comfort"? - LOL!!!
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FOUR MORE YEARS!!!!!!!!!

Nathanyl · PO3 Joined: 24 Aug 2004 Posts: 280

Me#1You#10 · Site Admin Joined: 06 May 2004 Posts: 6503

Yeah, and the Yankees were "competitive" till the third out in the bottom of the ninth.

peter · Lieutenant Joined: 22 Aug 2004 Posts: 214

Rush says Kerry up 1 in FL and Oh

But warns listeners first exit polls always wrong.

GoEagles · Posted: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:43 pm Post subject:

A lib posted this on another site, he said he got it from Kos, so don't treat it as gospel -

........AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH
Bush 55 51 57 40 48 48 47 48 40 43 49 41
Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57
_________________
"We cannot win this election" - John Fraud Kerry 11/3/04

Would you have gone to war with Iraq?
"You bet we might have" - John Fraud Kerry

ccr · Commander Joined: 10 Aug 2004 Posts: 325

If you go to http://www.nationalreview.com they have lots of state exit poll information.

HOWEVER....

There appears to be quite a bit of confusion and conflict.

Various reports on the early exit polls have:

OH:

Bush +8
Bush +1
Bush -4

FL

Bush -4
Bush -1

WHAT WE DON'T KNOW....

If you go to http://www.exit-poll.net (you may not get in because Drudge linked to the site and I think he crashed it Wink

) you will get nada data on their methodology and (most importantly) weighting of their samples.
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peter · Lieutenant Joined: 22 Aug 2004 Posts: 214

ccr · Commander Joined: 10 Aug 2004 Posts: 325

From....

http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/corner.asp

GoEagles · Posted: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:49 pm Post subject:

Kos is http://www.dailykos.com/ - an EXTREMELY liberal anti-Republican website.
_________________
"We cannot win this election" - John Fraud Kerry 11/3/04

Would you have gone to war with Iraq?
"You bet we might have" - John Fraud Kerry

angelnoel · Posted: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:50 pm Post subject:

DON'T BELIEVE EARLY EXIT POLLS! They are not reliable.

The Kerry family did not look happy after voting in Boston. The Bush family is absolutely glowing in OH and on arrival at White House. Must be the Internal polls we don't know about.

And Drudge is the last place I'll be checking any results, unless they link to RealClearPolitics.

Leslie · Seaman Recruit Joined: 13 Aug 2004 Posts: 21

Kos is an extreme left-winger!
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