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Post-election rumors missing one...thing: evidence

 
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Me#1You#10
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Joined: 06 May 2004
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 13, 2004 5:37 pm    Post subject: Post-election rumors missing one...thing: evidence Reply with quote

Election 2004

Internet post-election rumors missing one little thing: evidence
By HOWARD TROXLER, Times Columnist
St. Petersburg Times
November 11, 2004

Claims are lighting up the Internet that last week's presidential election was rigged and stolen. Some of this also has crept into the cable TV networks and conspiracy peddlers on radio.

Ordinarily I would ignore this as background noise. But the clamor is so incessant, and enough reasonable people are asking about it, to make it worth discussing. I fully understand this will not satisfy the true believers and will only anger some "you-lost-get-over-it" Bush supporters.

At any rate, here are some of the top claims, and the factual basis that lies beneath them. (A tease: A couple of them are actually true!)

CLAIM: Voting patterns in some Florida counties were suspicious because Bush got many more votes than the number of registered Republicans.

Several impressive-looking charts and graphs are flying around. MSNBC's Keith Olbermann singled out five Florida counties for what he called a "sudden" outbreak of "irregularities:" Baker, Dixie, Holmes, Lafayette and Liberty.

In those counties, Republicans make up only 7 to 24 percent of registered voters. But Bush won there with between 64 and 78 percent of the vote.

How can this be? Easy. They are northern "Dixiecrat" counties where being a registered Democrat but voting Republican is an old habit. The same counties voted overwhelmingly for Bush in 2000, and his father in 1988 - when registered Republicans made up as little as 2 percent of the electorate!

By the way, to make this claim, the conspiracy folks have had to contend that voting was more suspicious in counties without electronic machines.

CLAIM: Touch screen machines in Broward County started "counting backwards."

No, they didn't. The voting machines in the precincts worked fine.

Broward's central vote-counter was not programmed to expect more than 32,000 votes in any single precinct.

With the limit exceeded, the running totals in four races (all constitutional amendments) did, indeed, start declining.

Observers quickly noticed it. It got fixed. The accuracy of the individual voting machines was never in question. Nobody's vote was a "negative" that subtracted from the vote totals.

CLAIM: Palm Beach County reported getting more votes for president than the total turnout.

No, it didn't. The initial voter-turnout figure on the state's Web site didn't include absentees, that's all.

CLAIM: Several hundred ballots in Seminole County were "mysteriously" wet and could not be read.

Sort of. About half of 1,500 blank ballots in one precinct, at a church, got wet and nobody knows how. They got more ballots. Nobody was denied.

CLAIM: There was a suspicious difference between the exit polls and the final results.

My goodness! All of a sudden the art of polling, which my Democratic friends were insisting was unreliable right up until the election, is now is to be taken as gospel. Exit polls are "never wrong."

The exaggerations continue to grow. Kerry's lead in the exit polls keeps getting bigger. The polls' margin of error keeps getting smaller.

The Florida exit polls from Election Day are lined up on my desk. The biggest lead Kerry had was 51-49. The last update showed 50-50. The actual result was 52-47. Within the margin of error. Sorry.

CLAIM: In some precincts, voting machines started Election Day with "extra" votes already added.

This one actually was started by Republican poll watchers in Democratic precincts in Philadelphia. They even summoned the District Attorney's Office for a raid. They were entirely mistaken.

Here's the kicker: Over the past week, the Republican angle has been stripped away, and I have heard several Democrats complaining about machines starting out with extra votes.

CLAIM: A machine in Franklin County, Ohio, recorded an extra 3,893 votes for Bush.

This is perfectly true, and one of at least two serious machine mistakes around the country. When the results cartridge of an older-generation machine was plugged in to the counter, it reported almost 4,000 extra votes for Bush, when only 638 people had voted in the precinct.

At the risk of being labeled part of the plot, I want to point out that they caught this obvious mistake. You can't "stuff' the ballot box. There is a signed, independent record of how many people voted.

CLAIM: Kerry really won Ohio.

There are still 155,000 or so uncounted provisional and absentee ballots. If by some miracle Kerry got almost all of them, he would win. A miracle.

Furthermore, there also were 93,000 "spoiled" ballots in Ohio that, had they gone to Kerry by a miraculously large margin . . . uh, well, still wouldn't have been enough. By the way, there were fewer undervotes and overvotes than in 2000.

CLAIM: Electronic voting machines in Carteret County, N.C., mysteriously "lost" more than 4,500 votes - most of the votes cast in the county election!

This one is true, too, and disturbing. According to the Carteret County News-Times, the county's machines counted only the first 3,005 votes and didn't count the rest.

The Carteret screwup didn't change the presidential outcome, but a couple of state races were close enough to be affected. Besides, the standard of "no harm, no foul" is not good enough. But I would point out that even this mistake was obvious and immediately detected.

CLAIM: There's a lot more.

No doubt I am furthering the conspiracy by leaving something out. Yes, another Ohio county claimed homeland security and locked down its vote-counting room. Somewhat less reported is that a Democratic Party observer was inside and said he saw no irregularities.

Don't forget, Broward County sent out some absentee ballots too late.

There were many anecdotal reports of touch screen machines balking at recording the correct vote. Most came from Kerry supporters, but some Bush voters complained too. In my own case, I had to push the screen several times to record a vote in a judicial race. How many voters cast an incorrect vote without realizing it (which seems unlikely, given the reminders and review screens) is anybody's guess.

In conclusion, am I saying that any of this "proves" the machines weren't rigged? Nope. For all I know, evil geniuses at Diebold, Sequoia and ES&S really did conspire to shift votes to Bush. I don't believe it, but I can't disprove it either. You can't prove a negative. Hard evidence, please - which means more than just quoting somebody's Web site.

Times news researcher Kitty Bennett contributed to this column.

St. Petersburg Times Online

Hattip: Instapundit
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LewWaters
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 13, 2004 5:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Since when does the left require any evidence? They thrive off of creating controversies against the right and often succeed just by pointless accusations.
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Me#1You#10
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

LewWaters wrote:
Since when does the left require any evidence? They thrive off of creating controversies against the right and often succeed just by pointless accusations.


...and repetition.
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srmorton
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Great article and so well stated. I live about 45 minutes away from
Carteret County and that incident has been well documented in our
local papers. It actually happened during early voting. Apparently,
the poll workers had been told by the company that the machines
had a capacity of 10,000 votes when it was actually much less than
that. There was a "warning" system that should have indicated that
the capacity had been exceeded, but it either did not work or the poll
workers did not notice the warning. There is no way to retrive the
votes, although this was a touch-screen voting machine. Because of
the two close state-wide races, there may have to be another election.
This error was noticed immediately on election day when the votes
actually began to be counted. It was not a conspiracy to deprive
voters of their votes, but the Board of Elections was inundated with
people coming by to see if their vote was counted as soon as the
error became public knowledge.

What really upsets me about all this is that Al Gore did this country
a great disservice when he placed his own political fortunes above
what was best for the country and contested the 2000 election as he
did. He set an unfortunate precedent for all future elections - even
those that are not close like this one. The fact that Florida was called
early (which cost W thousands of votes as has been documented
elsewhere on this board) could never be taken back. He should have
realized he would never have come that close had it not been for that
terrible error. He should have been a true statesman and conceeded
the election for the good of the country as Nixon did in 1960.

Until the debacle of 2000, most people just went about the business
of voting without being afraid of their votes being lost or altered.
They were thankfully oblivious to the fact that human error can
occur and (probably did occur) in all elections. I heard Margaret
Carlson on CNN complaining about some of the long lines that
voters had to wait in when she was able to vote in just a few
minutes. Instead of being proud that so many people were so
determined to vote that they were willing to wait in a long line, she
was trying to turn it into a class warfare issue.

The Dems talk about counting every vote. I wonder if they will be
upset if every absentee ballot from the military who are now risking
their lives in the service of their country is not counted. It seems that
the only votes that really count to them are the ones cast for Democratic
candidates. What a sad commentary on a once great political party!
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MSeeger
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PostPosted: Sun Nov 14, 2004 7:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

What a sad commentary on the state of our news media that they would actually take these charges seriously and still try to win the election, even after the candidate has already conceded.

I mean, isn't that what all these alleged voter fraud stories are really all about?

Maria
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PostPosted: Sun Nov 14, 2004 10:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

LewWaters wrote:
Since when does the left require any evidence? They thrive off of creating controversies against the right and often succeed just by pointless accusations.


And get ready folks.....theyare going to re-count Ohio. I think it is pathetic. Their own lawyer that Kerry hired even told them it was pointless, but do they listen? No. The left always seems to think that they know better than everyone else and desire to tell us how things should be. Well, let them count, but what a waste of tax payer dollars. They waste their time on agendas and egos when they accuse the right of doing nothing to bring the minorities together...feed and cloth the homeless....and do not do anything to better educate our children. Sounds like the usual calling the kettle black. What a bunch of loosers that do not want to except they lost. It is so simple....you lost. They should be grateful they live in a country that holds elections every four years and are not stuck with dictators like Saddam Hussien was or like Castro in Cuba still is. The lefties will never know just how good they have it until they stop complaining and start being a part of the solution instead of part of the problem.
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Digger
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 15, 2004 8:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

From as far back as I can remember, I have never heard the left do anything but complain.The minute you try to do something to solve a problem they start trying to shoot you down. If there weren't any problems the left would create them just to justify their existences. Mad
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PhD candidate
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 15, 2004 9:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

doll wrote:

And get ready folks.....theyare going to re-count Ohio. I think it is pathetic. Their own lawyer that Kerry hired even told them it was pointless, but do they listen? No. The left always seems to think that they know better than everyone else and desire to tell us how things should be. Well, let them count, but what a waste of tax payer dollars. They waste their time on agendas and egos when they accuse the right of doing nothing to bring the minorities together...feed and cloth the homeless....and do not do anything to better educate our children. Sounds like the usual calling the kettle black. What a bunch of loosers that do not want to except they lost. It is so simple....you lost. They should be grateful they live in a country that holds elections every four years and are not stuck with dictators like Saddam Hussien was or like Castro in Cuba still is. The lefties will never know just how good they have it until they stop complaining and start being a part of the solution instead of part of the problem.


actually, to be clear, the recount is being requested by the Green and Libertarian party candidates, David Cobb and Michael Badnarik. it looks like they will ask for one, but only if they can afford to pay for it. The cost is around $150,000.00 or so, and it looks like they may have enough cash to do it.

the site announcing it is here: http://www.votecobb.org

and you can find here: http://www.electionline.org/site/docs/html/recount_provisions_-_part_1.htm

who pays for it: County/state pay for automatic recounts; applicant pays for permissive recounts; cost refunded if recount changes winner of election, or if the candidate receives more than 4% more votes in the recount than in the original count

I find this whole thing interesting.
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Bystander
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 15, 2004 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

'CLAIM: Voting patterns in some Florida counties were suspicious because Bush got many more votes than the number of registered Republicans. '

They've got to be kidding! Just because someone is a registered democrat or republican doesn't mean they have to vote that way. If this were the case, why hold elections at all? Just go according to party registration figures. The idiots! Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad
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