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rsrobinson
Seaman Recruit
Joined: 21 Aug 2004
Posts: 20
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 Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:55 pm Post subject: Belief that Kerry will win is plummeting |
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It looks like even Democrats are starting to believe that Kerry's a loser in November:
http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20040903005355&newsLang=en
| Quote: | SurveyUSA: Momentum Shifts to Bush; Big GOP Bounce After RNC Convention
VERONA, N.J.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 3, 2004--The number of Americans who think George W. Bush will be re-elected in November has suddenly jumped 10 to 20 points in dozens of cities around the country, according to SurveyUSA tracking polls conducted before, during and after the Democratic and Republican National Conventions.
SurveyUSA has been asking respondents not who they will vote for, but rather: who they think will win the presidential election in November. This question is more sensitive to changes in sentiment, and is designed to capture "momentum" swings more precisely than preference questions asked of likely voters. Tracking polls released today, 9/3/04, the day after the Republican National Convention ended, show sizeable swings in the public consciousness.
Examples:
-- In New York City, the number of adults who say Bush will win jumped from 39% on 7/22 (the week before the DNC) to 58% today: 19 points up for Bush, 17 points down for Kerry.
-- In Los Angeles, the number who say Bush will win jumped from 38% on 7/22 to 59% today: 21 points up for Bush, 18 points down for Kerry.
-- In Pittsburgh, Bush went from 44% to 64%: 20 points up for Bush, 19 points down for Kerry.
Each poll was conducted of an entire metropolitan area, known as a TV market, and defined by Nielsen Media Research as the "Designated Market Area" (DMA). In no metropolitan area, in any part of the country, did Kerry's numbers go up. Four separate polls of 500 adults each were conducted in 30 TV markets and in 2 states. (128 discrete pieces of opinion research; 64,000 separate telephone interviews.) Each survey has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5%.
The polls were conducted:
-- 7/22/04: The week before the DNC
-- 7/30/04: The day after Kerry's acceptance speech
-- 8/26/04: The week before the RNC
-- 9/3/04: The day after Bush's acceptance speech.
"The Democrats are eviscerated," says Jay H. Leve, Editor of SurveyUSA. "Even in the most solidly Democratic corners of this country, a majority of adults suddenly believe that George W. Bush will win in November." |
Kerry has never been anything more than a second-rate politician and Kennedy-wannabe. The only thing that made him stand out was his brief stint in Vietnam. Now that the Swiftees have successfully brought to light Kerry's craven opportunism during that period of his life even that is becoming a liability. The Dems are stuck now with a shallow, uncharismatic, droning, self-absorbed political hack as their nominee. |
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Navy wife
Research Director
Joined: 09 Aug 2004
Posts: 353
Location: Arlington, VA & Ft. Worth, TX
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| Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:16 pm Post subject: |
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| Thank you for alerting everyone to these poll numbers, rsrobinson! This is very interesting reading and I pray the numbers will keep climbing! |
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ASPB
Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 01 Jun 2004
Posts: 1680
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| Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:19 pm Post subject: |
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This is one of the few times when "perception is reality" strikes me as having some value! 
_________________
 On Sale! Order in lots of 100 now at velero@rcn.com Free for the cost of shipping All profits (if any, especially now) go to Swiftvets. The author of "Sink Kerry Swiftly" ---ASPB |
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jataylor11
Vice Admiral
Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 856
Location: Woodbridge, Virginia
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| Posted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 5:20 pm Post subject: |
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Basically, all Kerry had to run on was a 19 year liberal voting record. A record that would appeal to only 19% of the population. Kerry didn't even have a record of working in the Senate, no major bills, no amendments, no causes that he championed during the last 19 years. No significant work on any subject, and certainly no work on jobs, healthcare or education.
This is why Kerry made the 4 months in Vietnam the cornerstone of his campaign --- those 4 months are probably the only 4 months of real work this man has ever really done in his entire life.
And now the Swift Vets have brought forth the truth that these 4 months may not be the bright shining example of leadership that Kerry claims.
Kerry's campaign reminds me of the Holiday Inn Express Commericals where otherwise unqualified people are performing tasks outside of their skill level all because they spent the night at the hotel. --- vote for me I stayed at a Holiday Inn Express --- except we know that billionaire Kerry would never stay at anything less than a 4 star hotel --- and that would be roughing it.
Everyday I become more and more amazed that the democrats actually nominated this man. Basically the only thing Kerry has going for him is that he isn't Bush. While the hate the USA first crowd, and the hate, hate, hate crowd might have been willing to accept that == the majority of voters want something to believe in. In the end even those that don't like Bush or any of the GOP platform will believe in their personal security and either stay home or hold their nose and protect their a**. |
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