SwiftVets.com

[Poposwife_Retiredarmywife]

If you haven't heard of Pricing Political Risks, read this article. http://bpp.wharton.upenn.edu/jwolfers/Press/SIEPR%20policy%20brief.htm

Its a long read, so to sum it up.....
It's a political stock market, and has been proven pretty reliable.

Using www.intrade.com and marking only the states with a financial future of 50+ percent I went to the EV calculator and came up with this .....




It has our President leading with 290, Kerry with 248.

I did it this morning after voting (I actually had NO waiting to vote ) because of my frustration with polls.


Tell me what you think? It will be interesting to see how close I came to what actually happens.

(Heres to hoping I don't have egg on my face)

Lorelei

(Reposted from Geedunk, I had posted it in the wrong forum)

[Fort Campbell]

I pretty much agree with you. So if we have egg on our faces ( andwe won't) we'll share a washcloth.

[Poposwife_Retiredarmywife]

Thanks

Let's hope we don't need the washcloth.

Lorelei