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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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 Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 12:54 am Post subject: |
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Kooool. I'm sure it will tighten.
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Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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angelnoel
Seaman
Joined: 30 Oct 2004
Posts: 174
Location: Bradenton, Florida
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 12:59 am Post subject: |
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continuous update (sorry I cannot provide direct link)
www.news.yahoo.com |
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angelnoel
Seaman
Joined: 30 Oct 2004
Posts: 174
Location: Bradenton, Florida
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:11 am Post subject: |
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from Yahoo cont. coverage
Electoral States won % vote
B 66 7 57
K 77 9 42 |
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ccr
Commander
Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 325
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:27 am Post subject: |
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We are starting to see more and more indications here that EVEN WITH THE MODELING (which is the key aspect of the exit polling), the exit polls are way, way off.
Look at where the Florida numbers are going and what the late exit poll numbers said.
_________________
Whose side is John Kerry really on? Take this quiz and decide for yourself.
http://www.learnthat.com/quiz/
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:30 am Post subject: |
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Fox News online has:
Electoral:
Bush 74
Kerry 74
_________________
Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:36 am Post subject: |
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Yahoo has:
Electoral:
Bush 89
Kerry 77
Popular Vote:
Bush 55% 4,331,441
Kerry 44% 3,452,236
5% Precincts Rep.
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Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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Debs
Lieutenant
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 228
Location: Lubbock, Texas
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knightowl77
Ensign
Joined: 13 Aug 2004
Posts: 64
Location: Glendale, CA
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:41 am Post subject: |
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Its starting to break our way....Keep voting, keep praying!
_________________
I hope you don't mind an Army vet on your website. Former NCO in 82nd Airborne Div.
C 2nd/325th Inf |
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peter
Lieutenant
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 214
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:42 am Post subject: |
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Online Betting for Bush to win Florida as EXPLODED.
It went from $30 to win $50 to $70 to win $50....
WOW ...
Ohio looks to be the key. |
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:42 am Post subject: |
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Florida:
Bush 1,158,153 53.9%
Kerry 971,176 45.2%
23% reported
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Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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ccr
Commander
Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 325
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:46 am Post subject: |
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Please note a very significant trend right now: Bush is picking up bigger numbers than he did four years ago.
From National Review Online regarding the horribly flawed exit polls.
http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/corner.asp
| Quote: | ANOTHER INSIDE READ ON EXITS [KJL]
Either there is a huge methodological flaw in the exit polling data, or there has been a transformative change in the nature of the electorate. The former is far more likely. Which means that much of the media's narrative of the election so far looks to be very much wide of the mark. Imagine that.
Let me explain what I mean. Here are several data points that indicate that something is amiss on the matter of exit polling:
**In 2000, George W. Bush lost the white Catholic vote in Wisconsin. This time, he appears to be winning it by 10 percentage points. Yet I believe the exit polls have the white Catholic vote shrinking from more than one-third of the population to less than one-quarter. There's no reasonable explanation for it.
***In North Carolina, the exit polls show the voting population to be 63 percent women. That is obviously far too large – and it explains why the exit polls have the President up by only one in North Carolina. That figure won't stand up when the votes are counted; the President will carry North Carolina by a wide margin.
*** The exit polls have President Bush up in South Carolina by only seven points. He will win South Carolina by more than seven; you can take that to the bank. The Latino population makes up a larger percentage of Florida's population than in 2000. The President is carrying the Latino population in Florida by a greater margin than four years ago. Yet the exit polls have Latinos comprising a far smaller voting percentage of the population than four years ago.
***In Ohio, the exit polls show the vote among men to be 50-50. The final votes will almost surely be higher than that. ***President Bush is winning 43 percent of the Hispanic vote -- which, if that remains, means he should win re-election.
***Florida is a state in which you can measure absentee ballots early to get a good idea of where things stand. Right now we are dominating in absentee ballots in Florida. To be precise: we are leading by 154,000 votes – while in 2000, we won by only 98,000. So we are in much better shape this election that the last on this significant matter.
It’s worth recalling that in 2000, the final exit polls were significantly different than the actual vote count in at least seven states. And 2000 may be seen as the high-water mark for exit polling, compared to this year.
Something is clearly amiss. Indeed, this election may be a dagger at the heart of exit polling. The larger point is that we believe the President will not only carry Florida and Ohio; he has a real shot at carrying New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Michigan. That doesn't mean he'll carry all those states -- but it does mean that some of the post-mortems you are seeing on television and elsewhere are wildly irresponsible. I should add that when you talk to some very smart political reporters, they will tell you that they are very suspicious of the exit polling data sets. And they should be. We've gone through a similar situation once before, in 2000. You'd think people would learn. But you would be wrong.
The bottom line is that people need to exercise reasonable judgment and patience; watching some political commentators take to the airwaves before 7:00 p.m. to interpret the results of the election is like watching housepainters pretending to be portrait artists.
There is an obvious solution to all this: people -- especially reporters and commentators -- should wait until the votes are cast and counted. And until that happens, they should withhold making judgments based on information that is at the very least suspect.
Posted at 08:40 PM
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_________________
Whose side is John Kerry really on? Take this quiz and decide for yourself.
http://www.learnthat.com/quiz/
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:51 am Post subject: |
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Ohio:
Kerry 113,319 47.66%
Bush 108,473 45.62%
reported 1.82%
_________________
Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:53 am Post subject: |
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Florida:
Bush 1,378,485 54.6%
Kerry 1,127,069 44.6%
reported 27.5%
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Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:56 am Post subject: |
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Yahoo:
Popular vote:
George W. Bush 55% 6,797,793
John Kerry 44% 5,478,620
reported 8%
_________________
Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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cpowkj
Ensign
Joined: 22 Aug 2004
Posts: 67
Location: Texas
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| Posted: Wed Nov 03, 2004 1:59 am Post subject: |
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Ohio:
Bush, George W. Republican 147,294 49.28%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 135,380 45.29%
reported 3.44%
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Chief Johnson
Young Vietnam Era Vet, was at Yankee Station on USS Coral Sea (CVA-43) during fall of Siagon, April 1975. Also, participated in rescue of the Merchant Ship Migues from Cambodia, May 1975. Currently, drilling reservist supporting CENTCOM. |
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