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jwb7605 Rear Admiral
Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 690 Location: Colorado
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 3:47 pm Post subject: Global warming set to hit Europe badly: environment agency |
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http://www.breitbart.com/news/2005/11/29/051129134157.iq7vlpbg.html
What's up with this?
I thought "global" meant "global", not 'european', which is a subset of global.
Maybe "wimmen and childern will be affected the most"?
Quote: | Europe is facing the worst climate change in five millennia as a result of global warming, the European Environment Agency (EAA) warned. |
Quote: | In the 20th century, the average global temperature rose 0.7 C (1.25 F) as a result of burning coal, gas and coal -- the carbon fuels that are mainly to blame for the rise.
But the rise in Europe was 0.95 C (1.71 F), 35 percent higher, because of the continent's vulnerable location and smaller land mass, the EAA said. |
Seriously, if somebody has an answer to why Europe would be affected by global warming more than the rest of the planet would, and why "local" measures would help in curbing the phenomena (assuming it can be curbed, and that it is in fact, occuring), I would like to know what it is. |
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BuffaloJack Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 10 Aug 2004 Posts: 1637 Location: Buffalo, New York
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:02 pm Post subject: |
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The Earth under went an event called "The Little Ice Age" it lasted about 550 years, from the 1300's until the mid-1800's, just before the American Civil War. Scientists attribute "The Little Ice Age" to decreased output from the sun. They now say we have a slightly increased solar output. The fact that our climate is getting warmer isn't anything magic. Geological time speaking, we just left an Ice Age; it's suposed to get warmer.
If the Europeans are claiming that they are receiving higher average temperatures than the global average temperature, so what? Have they never heard of the Gulf Stream? The temperatures across the planet are not homogeneously distributed. Of course some areas are warmer than others. It they weren't we wouldn't have changes in weather, and people in New York wouldn't want to move to the Carolinas. _________________ Swift Boats - Qui Nhon (12/69-4/70), Cat Lo (4/70-5/70), Vung Tau (5/70-12/71) |
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GM Strong Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 18 Sep 2004 Posts: 1579 Location: Penna
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:07 pm Post subject: |
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That's why they are freezing their arses right now. Most of the hot air comes from France and other socialist politicos. _________________ 8th Army Korea 68-69 |
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Me#1You#10 Site Admin
Joined: 06 May 2004 Posts: 6503
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:37 pm Post subject: |
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My familiarity with the scientific foundations of the "global warming" argument are next to nothing although, from what I HAVE read, proponents of Kyoto seem to coalesce uncomfortably around anti-American and ideological motivations.
A bit of Googling produced the following. While I've no doubt that a tsunami of rebuttal material might easily be found, it does introduce what appears to be a fundamental flaw in the scientific argument of Kyoto proponents, the significance of "water vapor" in the equation which, according to the author, they'd rather not talk about.
It's not very long and is nicely presented with illuminating graphics. (all emphasis is in the original article)
Quote: | Water Vapor Rules
the Greenhouse System
Just how much of the "Greenhouse Effect" is caused by human activity?
It is about 0.28%, if water vapor is taken into account-- about 5.53%, if not.
This point is so crucial to the debate over global warming that how water vapor is or isn't factored into an analysis of Earth's greenhouse gases makes the difference between describing a significant human contribution to the greenhouse effect, or a negligible one.
<snip>
Putting it all together:
total human greenhouse gas contributions add up to about 0.28% of the greenhouse effect.
<snip>
The Kyoto Protocol calls for mandatory carbon dioxide reductions of 30% from developed countries like the U.S. Reducing man-made CO2 emissions this much would have an undetectable effect on climate while having a devastating effect on the U.S. economy. Can you drive your car 30% less, reduce your winter heating 30%? Pay 20-50% more for everything from automobiles to zippers? And that is just a down payment, with more sacrifices to come later.
Such drastic measures, even if imposed equally on all countries around the world, would reduce total human greenhouse contributions from CO2 by about 0.035%.
This is much less than the natural variability of Earth's climate system!
While the greenhouse reductions would exact a high human price, in terms of sacrifices to our standard of living, they would yield statistically negligible results in terms of measurable impacts to climate change. There is no expectation that any statistically significant global warming reductions would come from the Kyoto Protocol.
Quote: | " There is no dispute at all about the fact that even if punctiliously observed, (the Kyoto Protocol) would have an imperceptible effect on future temperatures -- one-twentieth of a degree by 2050. "
Dr. S. Fred Singer, atmospheric physicist
Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia,
and former director of the US Weather Satellite Service;
in a Sept. 10, 2001 Letter to Editor, Wall Street Journal |
http://www.clearlight.com/~mhieb/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html |
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BuffaloJack Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 10 Aug 2004 Posts: 1637 Location: Buffalo, New York
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:51 pm Post subject: |
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The Green People seem to complete ignore the fact that the global warming that the Earth is experiencing isn't confined to the Earth. Mars is also undergoing a global warming phenomena that tracks ours nearly one to one (although somewhat diminished from ours due to the greater distance Mars is from the Sun and the fact that Mars has a thinner atmosphere.) Could the Martians be polluting their atmosphere with the the by products of fossil fuels like we have been accused of? _________________ Swift Boats - Qui Nhon (12/69-4/70), Cat Lo (4/70-5/70), Vung Tau (5/70-12/71)
Last edited by BuffaloJack on Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:51 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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jwb7605 Rear Admiral
Joined: 06 Aug 2004 Posts: 690 Location: Colorado
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 4:51 pm Post subject: |
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Now that we've acknowledged politics, I have to add the questions:
(a) why would a bunch of anti-U.S. "scientists" do this to their OWN people?
... note that they want laws regulating Europe going into effect.
(b) why would they want these laws while acknowledging or claiming that any effect on the rest of the world will happen?
(c) how come other smaller land masses (let's say Japan, just as an example) are NOT mentioned?
BTW: the Gulf Stream ... it's called that because it comes from Florida? Must be our fault ... as soon as they hear about it, we're really in trouble. |
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GenrXr Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 05 Aug 2004 Posts: 1720 Location: Houston
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I B Squidly Vice Admiral
Joined: 26 Aug 2004 Posts: 879 Location: Cactus Patch
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 5:59 pm Post subject: |
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Kyoto does not apply to the majority of the human biomass, India and China leaving their developing industries to churn out polutants unrestrained. It's one of those feel-good, do-nothing nortrums that gives its proponents an undeserved sanctimony. When you realize Mt. Pinatubo in one afternoon released more CO2 and SO2 then the entirety of man's industrial history you just have to laugh at these true believers.
As for Earth's climate we don't even know that we're out of the last ice age. It's advanced with ice sheets 5 times in the last several million years with temperate interims of 25-100,000 years and we're only 10k into the current thaw. One of the more interesting theories posits that the rise of the Himalayas (the Andes are of similar vintage) some 20 million years ago was the trigger. Rain carries CO2 out of the atmosphere and the towering slopes worked as wick carriing all that CO2 to the ocean and cooling the air.
Ice ages are one thing and we've had dozens of them since the Cambrian era. Recent discoveries indicate that about 750 million years ago, just over the edge of the geologic record the globe froze. Not a simple ice crust with narrowed temperate zones at the equator; we're talking frozen solid. Life was reduced to extremo-philes and inorganic matter suffered molecular failure. All that went before was erased and there's no way of knowing how often it may have happened in the previous 3.25 billion years. Seeing what we've risen to in the last 600 million years from single cell life it's curious what may have occured earlier.
"The Day After Tomorrow" put forth that industrial pollution was melting polar ice, altering the density of the Gulf Stream and triggering a new ice age. Of course no one asks what triggered the last ice age when there was no industrial pollution and the Gulf was unformed. _________________ "KILL ALL THE LAWYERS!"
-Wlm Shakespeare |
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GM Strong Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 18 Sep 2004 Posts: 1579 Location: Penna
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 6:13 pm Post subject: |
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I have two questions.
As we have only been recording temperatures for about 150 years, much less than accurately , how can so called enviromental scientists base anything on data supposedly 500 or more years in the past?
Why are the Ice caps on Mars melting? It not Auto emissions or animal flatulence. _________________ 8th Army Korea 68-69 |
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PhantomSgt Vice Admiral
Joined: 10 Sep 2004 Posts: 972 Location: GUAM, USA
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 7:34 pm Post subject: |
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GM Strong wrote: | I have two questions.
As we have only been recording temperatures for about 150 years, much less than accurately , how can so called enviromental scientists base anything on data supposedly 500 or more years in the past?
Why are the Ice caps on Mars melting? It not Auto emissions or animal flatulence. |
By taking deep core samples of ice from Antarctica and analyzing the gases and trapped particles, scientists can determine many facts about our past including climate change events or temperatures.
The earth has had numerous climate shifts in the past and will have more in the future.
Would it hurt if we cut hydrocarbon output into the atmosphere? No. Is this the worst that our earth has seen in the past? Again, no. There have been times when the earth was in far worse shape than it is today.
_________________ Retired AF E-8
Independent that leans right of center. |
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GM Strong Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 18 Sep 2004 Posts: 1579 Location: Penna
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Posted: Tue Nov 29, 2005 7:54 pm Post subject: |
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PhantomSgt wrote: | GM Strong wrote: | I have two questions.
As we have only been recording temperatures for about 150 years, much less than accurately , how can so called enviromental scientists base anything on data supposedly 500 or more years in the past?
Why are the Ice caps on Mars melting? It not Auto emissions or animal flatulence. |
By taking deep core samples of ice from Antarctica and analyzing the gases and trapped particles, scientists can determine many facts about our past including climate change events or temperatures.
The earth has had numerous climate shifts in the past and will have more in the future.
Would it hurt if we cut hydrocarbon output into the atmosphere? No. Is this the worst that our earth has seen in the past? Again, no. There have been times when the earth was in far worse shape than it is today.
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Core sample tell us much, but nothing about recorded temperatures or unrecorded for that matter. Much less what was going on in N America. Core samples can show a profile range and you can propose a guess as to a temperature range, but it is not hard data with a tme stamp and date. My point is, no scientist can tell me what the temperature in a given location was over time when the data could not possibly be obtained. When someone says this is the warmest summer in Seattle since 1492, what is it based on? You don't have any data to say with any finality. _________________ 8th Army Korea 68-69 |
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George F. Thompson Seaman Apprentice
Joined: 11 May 2004 Posts: 80 Location: Fort Walton Beach, Fl 32547
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Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2005 2:36 pm Post subject: |
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Has anyone checked out the correlation of the manduer minimum in relationship to climate change as compared to weather change? During the mini-ice age 1300A.D. to 1800A.D. the Manduer minimum determined the sun's output was decreased by .5% to 1%, now the suns output may possibly have increased by .5% to 1%. Seems like a natural, cyclic type of event to me. Oh, By the way, Canada was a signer of the Kyoto protocol and had agreed to reduce their green house gas emmissions by 6% , their green house gas production has increased to 24% in the past few years. Guess what the United States production was, it actually decreased. Check it out on Lucianne.com or the Globemail.com 11/28/05.
George F. Thompson |
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GenrXr Master Chief Petty Officer of the Navy
Joined: 05 Aug 2004 Posts: 1720 Location: Houston
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Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2005 5:09 pm Post subject: |
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George F. Thompson wrote: | Has anyone checked out the correlation of the manduer minimum in relationship to climate change as compared to weather change? During the mini-ice age 1300A.D. to 1800A.D. the Manduer minimum determined the sun's output was decreased by .5% to 1%, now the suns output may possibly have increased by .5% to 1%. Seems like a natural, cyclic type of event to me. Oh, By the way, Canada was a signer of the Kyoto protocol and had agreed to reduce their green house gas emmissions by 6% , their green house gas production has increased to 24% in the past few years. Guess what the United States production was, it actually decreased. Check it out on Lucianne.com or the Globemail.com 11/28/05.
George F. Thompson |
The only reason any countries signed this treaty was purely for political purpose knowing fully the US would not sign it and thus bail them out for signing it. _________________ "An activist is the person who cleans up the water, not the one claiming its dirty."
"All that is necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to stand by and do nothing." Edmund Burke (1729-1797), Founder of Conservative Philosophy |
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PhantomSgt Vice Admiral
Joined: 10 Sep 2004 Posts: 972 Location: GUAM, USA
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Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2005 6:06 pm Post subject: |
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GM Strong wrote: | PhantomSgt wrote: | GM Strong wrote: | I have two questions.
As we have only been recording temperatures for about 150 years, much less than accurately , how can so called enviromental scientists base anything on data supposedly 500 or more years in the past?
Why are the Ice caps on Mars melting? It not Auto emissions or animal flatulence. |
By taking deep core samples of ice from Antarctica and analyzing the gases and trapped particles, scientists can determine many facts about our past including climate change events or temperatures.
The earth has had numerous climate shifts in the past and will have more in the future.
Would it hurt if we cut hydrocarbon output into the atmosphere? No. Is this the worst that our earth has seen in the past? Again, no. There have been times when the earth was in far worse shape than it is today.
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Core sample tell us much, but nothing about recorded temperatures or unrecorded for that matter. Much less what was going on in N America. Core samples can show a profile range and you can propose a guess as to a temperature range, but it is not hard data with a tme stamp and date. My point is, no scientist can tell me what the temperature in a given location was over time when the data could not possibly be obtained. When someone says this is the warmest summer in Seattle since 1492, what is it based on? You don't have any data to say with any finality. |
Imagine the rings on a tree stump that tell the story of a seasons growth for a tree. A long growing season will mean a larger space between rings (warmer temperatures). Core samples of ice from glaciers record the same type of data on the climate of NA or elsewhere. Warmer seasons less ice. Colder seasons result in more ice pack. Track this for several tousand years and you can create a pretty accurate model.
_________________ Retired AF E-8
Independent that leans right of center. |
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homesteader PO3
Joined: 17 Sep 2004 Posts: 294 Location: wisconsin
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Posted: Wed Nov 30, 2005 9:55 pm Post subject: |
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Just read that due to global warming, Europe is about to experience a mini ice-age. Huh?????? |
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