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Statistical Evaluation Of Polls

 
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PC
PO3


Joined: 29 Aug 2004
Posts: 257
Location: Southern California
PostPosted: Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:00 pm    Post subject: Statistical Evaluation Of Polls Reply with quote
The following site provides very active updates (hourly if new state polls) and includes statistical probability studies of the candidates chances of winning.

http://www.econ.umn.edu/~amoro/Research/presprobs.html#sim1

Last edited by PC on Sat Oct 09, 2004 9:10 pm; edited 1 time in total
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sround
Commander


Joined: 27 Aug 2004
Posts: 328
Location: Stockbridge, GA
PostPosted: Sat Oct 09, 2004 8:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote
That was cool. Thanks for sharing!
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PC
PO3


Joined: 29 Aug 2004
Posts: 257
Location: Southern California
PostPosted: Thu Oct 14, 2004 5:12 pm    Post subject: Chicago Tribune Reply with quote
In the last few days, the probability of GWB winning has gone down 6 or 7 points and I believe it has to do with the Chicago Tribune poll not being too Bush friendly.

This site is like day trading, it changes a few times a day. Fun but a little nerve racking too.
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