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First Post Convention State-by-State

 
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Polaris
Rear Admiral


Joined: 16 Aug 2004
Posts: 626

PostPosted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:05 pm    Post subject: First Post Convention State-by-State Reply with quote

Everyone,

Here is the latest from AP:

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&ncid=1963&e=15&u=/ap/20040905/ap_on_el_pr/road_to270_3

It would seem that we are having an impact along with the GOP bounce. Read the article for more details. Suffice it to say that the news is quite good (significant EV lead)...just be prepared for the AP bias.
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Big Kahuna
Lieutenant


Joined: 18 May 2004
Posts: 219
Location: SE Texas

PostPosted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

237 to 211 on electorial votes. Too bad too many voters are so fickle. 60 days is a long time. Ever since Klinton beat Bush Sr. and algore almost won in 2000 -- I take nothing for granted.

I would love to see a Reagan landslide.
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Beatrice1000
Resource Specialist


Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 1179
Location: Minneapolis, MN

PostPosted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:17 pm    Post subject: Re: First Post Convention State-by-State Reply with quote

Polaris wrote:


"...moved from lean-Kerry to tossup — Minnesota,..."

YEAH! Cool
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NortonPete
PO2


Joined: 13 Aug 2004
Posts: 385

PostPosted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:06 pm    Post subject: Re: First Post Convention State-by-State Reply with quote

Beatrice1000 wrote:
Polaris wrote:


"...moved from lean-Kerry to tossup — Minnesota,..."

YEAH! Cool


Beatrice we expect nothing less than for you to stand
out on a busy street corner with a sandwich board saying
"I believe the Swift Boat Vets" Laughing
But for Gods sake and ours don't get in the traffic. Cool
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Beatrice1000
Resource Specialist


Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 1179
Location: Minneapolis, MN

PostPosted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 11:19 pm    Post subject: Re: First Post Convention State-by-State Reply with quote

NortonPete wrote:
...Beatrice we expect nothing less than for you to stand out on a busy street corner with a sandwich board saying
"I believe the Swift Boat Vets"...


The dems are very vocal and angry around here... like hornets. This is their state. I've been getting jostled and harassed just by carrying around UFC (which I continue to do Cool ) ... I am working on people though, all the time. What we need here are some big, strong guys carrying around those sandwich boards -- up and down Nicollet Mall at noon!! I look for them every day-- c'mon Minnesota vets!
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VietnamVetsWife
Seaman Recruit


Joined: 12 Aug 2004
Posts: 25

PostPosted: Sun Sep 05, 2004 11:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I had good news at dinner last night. 2 (Dem) friends said that the swiftvet's ads and TV coverage started them thinking, and coupled with the President's and Kerry's speeches Thurs. night, they would never consider voting for Kerry, ever again! I was so excited. For months, we had tried to convince them Kerry was a lying POS. Thank you Swifties! You did what my husband and I couldn't do.
Keep it up, by election day, The Kerritanic will be sunk!!!!!!!!!!!


BTW, Our friends' main concern is National Security!
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integritycounts
Rear Admiral


Joined: 11 Aug 2004
Posts: 667

PostPosted: Mon Sep 06, 2004 12:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

None of the polls have yet to include Bush's speech within the numbers. To do a poll you need about 3-4 days after an event to include it.

To have statistically relevant data you need to pick a random sample of homes to call. If you don't get an answer on the phone you have to call back until you do. This is why you see these three day windows on most polls...when they were taken.

If you were to move on to the next house to call without trying again you skew the data. You would exclude for example all voters that work nights...who were out for the weekend...whatever....to be valid you have to keep trying to get the person back.

So the first real numbers will be out Monday or Tuesday. Those will truly include the full convention effect.
----
I am predicting the numbers go up....watching this closely. The real irony is that the Press is regarding the Swift Vets as now a historical event, rather than ongoing
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Navy_Navy_Navy
Admin


Joined: 07 May 2004
Posts: 5777

PostPosted: Mon Sep 06, 2004 12:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Moving to the geedunk.... thanks!
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